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Boston Red Sox vs. Cincinnati Reds MLB Pick, Odds, Prediction 5/6/14

Cincinnati Reds (15-16) at Boston Red Sox (15-17)

MLB Baseball: Tuesday, May 6, 2014 at 7:10 pm (Fenway Park)

Homer Bailey (R) (2-2) (5.505) vs. Felix Doubront (L) (1-3) (5.698)

The Line: Boston Red Sox -128 / Cincinnati Reds +118 --- Over/Under: 9.5 See the Latest Odds

TV: FS-Ohio, NESN

The Boston Red Sox and the Cincinnati Reds face off on Tuesday at Fenway park for game one of their interleague series.

The Boston Red Sox haven’t looked like the team they were last season when they won the World Series but with no one pulling away in the AL East they have plenty of time and they are still close to the leaders. The Red Sox are 8-11 at home this season, 5-5 in their last 10 games, and are coming off of a a loss against Oakland on Sunday. As a team the Red Sox are hitting .244 with Mike Napoli hitting .290, Xander Bogaerts hitting .280, and Dustin Pedroia hitting .275. As a team the Red Sox pitching staff has an ERA of 3.68 with the starters at 3.89 and the bullpen at 3.27. For game one against the Reds the Red Sox start who hasn’t won in his last five starts. For the season Doubront has allowed 35 hits and 19 earned runs while striking out 21 over 30 innings for a 1-3 record and a 5.70 ERA.

Boston Red Sox vs. Cincinnati Reds MLB Pick, Odds, Prediction 5/6/14

USA TODAY Sports

The Cincinnati Reds are still battling key injuries but they are still within striking distance in the NL Central. The Reds are 7-9 on the road this season, 5-5 in their last 10 games ,and a they have won their last two games. As a team the Reds are hitting .253 with Brandon Phillips hitting .279, Joey Votto hitting .275, and Ryan Ludwick hitting .273. As a team the Reds pitching staff has an ERA of 3.29 with the starters at 2.93 and the bullpen at 4.39. For game one at Boston the Reds start Homer Bailey who is 2-1 in his last three starts. For the season Bailey has allowed 47 hits and 21 earned runs while striking out 33 over 34.1 innings for a 2-2 record and a 5.50 ERA.

Boston is 36-15 following a loss, 42-13 in their last 55 interleague home games against a team with a losing record, and 1-4 in Doubront’s last five starts. Cincinnati is 4-1 in their last five interleague road games, 5-11 following a win, and 2-6 in Bailey’s last eight starts. Cincinnati is 1-5 in the last six meetings of these two.

Boston is a reasonable favorite here but Bailey appears to be getting it together and when he does that he is extremely tough and I like him here. 

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Cincinnati Reds +118

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