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San Diego Padres vs. Miami Marlins MLB Pick, Odds, Prediction - 5/10/14

Miami Marlins (20-15) at San Diego Padres (15-21)

MLB Baseball: Saturday, May 10, 2014 at 8:40 pm (PETCO Park)

Nathan Eovaldi (R) (2-1) (2.780) vs. Eric Stults (L) (1-3) (5.399)

The Line: San Diego Padres -101 / Miami Marlins -109 --- Over/Under: 7 See the Latest Odds

TV: FSN-FL, FSN-SD

The Miami Marlins and San Diego Padres will play game three of four on Saturday night with the series tied at one apiece.

The Marlins watched their five-game winning streak come to an end with a 10-1 loss on Friday. Still, the Marlins are in first place in the NL East and have won nine of their last 11 games. The problem is the Marlins are just 3-11 on the road and have struck out 27 times in the first two games of this series. Giancarlo Stanton is riding an 11-game hitting streak. Starting Saturday is Nate Eovaldi, who is 2-1 with a 2.78 ERA and has 45 strikeouts in 45.1 innings. Eovaldi is 1-1 with a 1.96 ERA in three career starts against the Padres.

San Diego Padres vs. Miami Marlins MLB Pick, Odds, Prediction - 5/10/14

USA TODAY Sports

The Padres have lost three of their last 10 games and finally showed some offensive firepower in Friday’s win. Unfortunately for them, the Padres are still 3-13 this season when allowing more than three runs. The Padres have only three players who have double-digit RBI and they’ve hit only 20 homers in 37 games. The lack of run support has really hurt the Padres pitching staff, including Eric Stults, who is 1-3 with a 5.40 ERA and has 15 strikeouts in 33.1 innings. Stults is 1-3 with a 5.79 ERA and in five career starts against the Marlins. 

The Marlins are 7-3 in Eovaldi's last 10 starts and 21-45 in their last 66 during game 3 of a series. The Padres are 16-5 in Stults' last 21 home starts and 8-3 in Stults' last 11 starts as a home underdog. The Marlins are 6-1 in the last 7 meetings against the Padres.

Friday's game was a fluke, as the Padres struggle to get one run let alone 10 in a single game. Eovaldi is a talented pitcher with a live arm who should quiet the Padres bats. With this price, you have to go with the better team in the Marlins. The fish will bounce back. 

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Miami Marlins -109

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