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Milwaukee Brewers at Chicago Cubs MLB Pick, Odds, Prediction - 5/17/14

Milwaukee Brewers (26-15) at Chicago Cubs (13-26)

MLB Baseball: Saturday, May 17, 2014 at 2:20 pm (Wrigley Field)

Matt Garza (R) (2-3) (4.979) vs. Edwin Jackson (R) (2-3) (4.563)

The Line: Chicago Cubs +115 / Milwaukee Brewers -125 --- Over/Under: See the Latest Odds

TV: FSN-WI, CSN-CHI

The Milwaukee Brewers and Chicago Cubs will play game two of three on Saturday afternoon.

The Brewers have won five of their last six games and improve to 12 games above a .500 record with a 4-3 win over the Cubs on Friday. The Brewers offense has been wildly consistent as of late, scoring four or more runs in seven of their last 10 games. The Brewers are 23-1 this season when scoring more than three runs. Carlos Gomez expects to return from suspension on Saturday, and Ryan Braun has 15 hits in his last 10 games. Matt Garza will get the nod, and he's 2-3 with a 4.98 ERA and has 39 strikeouts in 47 innings. This will be Garza’s second career start against the Cubs.

Milwaukee Brewers at Chicago Cubs MLB Pick, Odds, Prediction - 5/17/14

USA TODAY Sports

The Cubs have lost three straight and six of their last seven games, really burring themselves in the NL Central. The Cubs lack of offense has killed them, scoring three or less runs in nine of their last 11 games. However, the Cubs pitching staff has done an OK job of keeping them in games, racking up an ERA of 3.77, which is 13th best in the majors. Starlin Castro has eight hits in his last four games and Anthony Rizzo has gotten on base at least once in six straight games. Edwin Jackson takes the mound, and he’s 2-3 with a 4.56 ERA and has 38 strikeouts in 47.1 innings. Jackson is 4-6 with a 3.69 ERA in 12 career starts against the Brewers.

The Brewers are 4-1 in Garza's last 5 starts and 4-0 in Garza's last 4 starts as a favorite. The Cubs are 5-16 in Jackson's last 21 starts and 3-12 in Jackson's last 15 starts as an underdog. The Cubs are 1-4 in Jackson's last 5 starts vs. Brewers.

Getting the Brewers at this price is a steal. Not only are the Brewers the much better team and can actually put runs on the board, but Jackson has had little luck winning games in a Cubs uniform. Take the Brewers. 

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Milwaukee Brewers -125

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