San Francisco Giants vs. Miami Marlins MLB Pick, Odds, Prediction - 5/18/14
Miami Marlins (22-21) at San Francisco Giants (27-16)
MLB Baseball: Sunday, May 18, 2014 at 4:05 pm (AT&T Park)
Jacob Turner (R) (0-1) (6.751) vs. Ryan Vogelsong (R) (1-2) (4.219)
The Line: San Francisco Giants -145 / Miami Marlins +135 --- Over/Under: 7.5 See the Latest Odds
TV: FSN-FL, CSN-BA
The Miami Marlins and San Francisco Giants will wrap up a four-game series on Sunday afternoon. The Marlins lead the series 2-1.
Believe it or not, the Marlins have won back-to-back road games and three of their last four. Still, the Marlins are 6-16 on the road this season. The Marlins have scored four or more runs in six of their last seven games and Giancarlo Stanton has 15 hits in his last 10 games. Pitching wise, the Marlins have been inconsistent on the road, allowing four or more runs in seven of their last nine games. Getting the nod Sunday is Jacob Turner, who is 0-1 with a 6.75 ERA and has 10 strikeouts in 21.1 innings. This will be Turner’s second career start against the Giants.
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The Giants have lost three of their last five games and are in danger of losing just their second series of the month. During this stretch, the Giants pitching has been a little shaky, as they’ve allowed four or more runs in five straight games. It’s a little unusual for a Giants squad that has the fifth best ERA in the majors. Offensively, Michael Morse continues to carry the way with seven hits in his last five games. Starting will be Ryan Vogelsong, who is 1-2 with a 4.22 ERA and has 33 strikeouts in 42.2 innings. Vogelsong is 2-3 with a 2.35 ERA in eight career games against the Marlins.
The Marlins are 3-13 in Turner's last 16 starts and 2-9 in Turner's last 11 road starts. The Giants are 21-9 in Vogelsong's last 30 starts with 4 days of rest and 16-7 in Vogelsong's last 23 starts as a home favorite. The Marlins are 12-2 in the last 14 meetings in San Francisco.
For whatever reason, the Marlins have absolutely destroyed the Giants on their home field over the years and it hasn’t been much different in the last two games of this series. While the pitching matchup does favor the Giants, the value is in Miami given how well the Marlins play in San Fran.