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Cincinnati Reds vs. Toronto Blue Jays MLB Pick, Odds, Prediction - 6/21/14

Toronto Blue Jays (41-33) at Cincinnati Reds (35-36)

MLB Baseball: Saturday, June 21, 2014 at 4:10 pm (Great American Ball Park)

JA Happ (L) (6-3) (4.041) vs. Mike Leake (R) (4-6) (3.899)

The Line: Cincinnati Reds -130 / Toronto Blue Jays +120 --- Over/Under: 8.5 See the Latest Odds

TV: SNET, FSN-OH, MLB Net

The Cincinnati Reds and Toronto Blue Jays will take the field Saturday afternoon.

The Blue Jays won Friday, but continue their slump as they’ve lost eight of their last 12 games overall. The Blue Jays pitching has been horrible as they have an ERA of 3.99 and have allowed 22 runs in their last three games. The Blue Jays are 9-30 when allowing more than three runs. Offensively, Edwin Encarnacion has eight RBI in his last two games and Melky Cabrera has seven hits in his last four games. J.A. Happ takes the mound, and he’s 6-3 with a 4.05 ERA and has 44 strikeouts in 53.1 innings. Happ is 1-2 with a 5.64 ERA in five career starts against the Reds.

Cincinnati Reds vs. Toronto Blue Jays MLB Pick, Odds, Prediction - 6/21/14

USA TODAY Sports

The Reds have lost back-to-back games and fall two games below a .500 record. Despite having a struggling offense all season, the Reds have scored four or more runs in seven of their last nine games. Todd Frazier has nine RBI in his last eight games and Brandon Phillips has 12 hits in his last nine games. Pitching wise, the Reds have an ERA of 3.61, which is 12th in the majors. Mike Leake gets the start, and he is 4-6 with 3.80 ERA and has 66 strikeouts in 92.1 innings. This is Leake’s second career game against the Blue Jays.

The Blue Jays are 4-0 in Happ's last 4 road starts and 5-2 in Happ's last 7 starts overall. The Reds are 3-8 in Leake's last 11 starts and 0-5 in Leake's last 5 starts as a favorite. The Blue Jays are 5-2 in the last 7 meetings.

You have to like the over in this spot. The Reds are finally putting runs on the board and Toronto continues to be a scoring machine this season. This total is too low. 

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Over 8.5

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