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Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braves MLB Pick, Odds, Prediction - 6/28/14 Game One

Atlanta Braves (40-38) at Philadelphia Phillies (36-42)

MLB Baseball: Saturday, June 28, 2014 at 2:05 pm (Citizens Bank Park)

Ervin Santana (R) (5-5) (4.146) vs. Fausto Carmona (R) (3-6) (4.520)

The Line: Philadelphia Phillies +113 / Atlanta Braves -123 --- Over/Under: 8 See the Latest Odds

TV: FSN-S, CSN-PHI

The Philadelphia Phillies and Atlanta Braves will play game one of a doubleheader on Saturday afternoon.

The Braves are finally playing like they want to win the NL East, as they’ve won five of their last eight games. The Braves pitching staff has taken over during this stretch, allowing three or fewer runs in five of their last eight games. On the season, the Braves have the sixth best ERA at 3.34. Offensively the Braves have also picked it up, as Justin Upton has homered twice in his last four games and Freddie Freeman is coming off a four-RBI performance. Ervin Santana takes the mound, and he’s 5-5 with a 4.15 ERA and has 81 strikeouts in 89 innings. Santana is 1-1 with a 1.89 ERA in three career starts against the Phillies.

Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braves MLB Pick, Odds, Prediction - 6/28/14 Game One

USA TODAY Sports

The Phillies have lost five of their last seven and are digging the hole deeper in the standings. The reason has been a lack of offense, as the Braves have scored three or fewer runs in five of their last seven games. The Phillies have lost seven straight games when that’s the case. Ryan Howard has hit safely in eight of his last 10 games and Chase Utley has four hits in his last two games. The Phillies have an ERA of 3.79, 15th best in baseball. Roberto Hernandez gets the nod, and he’s 3-6 with a 4.41 ERA and has 62 strikeouts in 79.2 innings. Hernandez is 2-0 with a 4.26 ERA in three career starts against the Braves. 

The Braves are 6-2 in their last 8 opening games of a double-header and 0-4 in Santanas last 4 starts. The Phillies are 1-4 in Hernandezs last 5 home starts and 5-0 in their last 5 during game 2 of a series. 

I don't trust either pitcher, which is why I'm taking the over. Sure, these are two of the worst offensive teams in the league, but these pitchers are wildly inconsistent and one of these guys is sure to get rocked. 

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Over 8

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