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New York Yankees vs. Tampa Bay Rays MLB Pick, Odds, Prediction 6/30/14

Tampa Bay Rays (35-49) at New York Yankees (41-39)

MLB Baseball: Monday, June 30, 2014 at 7:05 pm (Yankee Stadium)

Chris Archer (R) (4-5) (3.290) vs. David Phelps (R) (3-4) (4.755)

The Line: New York Yankees -115 / Tampa Bay Rays +105 --- Over/Under: 9 See the Latest Odds

TV: Sun, YES

The New York Yankees and the Tampa Bay Rays face off on Monday in New York for game one of their series.

The New York Yankees are within striking distance atop the AL East but they haven’t been able to get over the hump this season. The Yankees are 18-20 at home, 4-6 in their last 10 games, and they have lost their last two games. As a team the Yankees are hitting .253 with Ichiro Suzuki hitting .297, Brett Gardener hitting .288, and Jacoby Ellsbury hitting .285. As a team the Yankees pitching staff has an ERA of 4.02 with the starters at 4.05 and the bullpen at 3.96. For game one against the Rays the Yankees start David Phelps who has won his last two decisions. For the season the Phelps has allowed 72 hits and 34 earned runs while striking out 64 over 70.1 innings for a 3-4 record and a 4.35 ERA.

New York Yankees vs. Tampa Bay Rays MLB Pick, Odds, Prediction 6/30/14

USA TODAY Sports

The Tampa Bay Rays enter the week tied for the worst record in baseball but that is an improvement for them. The Rays are 16-24 on the road this season, 6-4 in their last 10 games, and they have won the last two games. As a team the Rays are hitting .247 with James Loney hitting .280, Matt Joyce hitting .274, and Evan Longoria hitting .264. As a team the Rays pitching staff has an ERA of 3.90 with the starters at 3.88 and the bullpen at 3.93. For game one in the Bronx the Rays start Chris Archer who has lost three of his last four starts. For the season Archer has allowed 87 hits and 34 earned while striking out 86 over 93 innings for a 4-5 record and a 3.29 ERA.

The Yankees are 6-1 in game one of a series, 2-7 in their last nine games, and 2-5 in Phelps’ last seven starts. The Rays are 5-1 in their last six road games, 3-5 in their last eight games in a road underdog, and 1-5 in Archer’s last six starts. The Rays have won five of their last six in New York.

I am not seeing a lot of runs happening here so my free pick is the under. My stronger play is on the winning side and I will post that in the Premium Area as well as on the App.

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Under 9

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