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San Diego Padres vs. San Francisco Giants MLB Pick, Odds, Prediction - 7/4/14

San Francisco Giants (47-37) at San Diego Padres (38-47)

MLB Baseball: Friday, July 4, 2014 at 6:40 pm (PETCO Park)

Matt Cain (R) (1-6) (4.615) vs. Eric Stults (L) (2-11) (5.358)

The Line: San Diego Padres -103 / San Francisco Giants -107 --- Over/Under: 6.5 See the Latest Odds

TV: CSN-BA, FSN-SD

The San Diego Padres and San Francisco Giants begin a three-game series on Friday at Petco Park.

The Giants have lost eight of their last 10 games and are nine games above a .500 record. The reason for the slump is a Giants offense that has produced three or less runs in eight of their last 10 games. The Giants have lost 13 straight games when scoring less than four runs. Buster Posey has 11 hits in his last nine games and Hunter Pence has hit safely in nine of his last 10 games. Matt Cain takes the hill, and he’s 1-6 with a 4.38 ERA and has 60 strikeouts in 78 innings. Cain is 7-13 with a 3.19 ERA in 33 career starts against the Padres.

San Diego Padres vs. San Francisco Giants MLB Pick, Odds, Prediction - 7/4/14

USA TODAY Sports

The Padres have won four straight games, but are still nine games below .500. The Padres pitching has to be lights out to give themselves a chance to win, and they’ve allowed three or less runs in nine of their last 10 games. With a 3.24 ERA, the Padres should be a better team, but their offense is dead last in every major category. Seth Smith is the only Padre with at least 25 RBI, and they’ve scored three or less runs in six of their last seven games. Eric Stults gets the ball, and he’s 2-11 with a 5.36 ERA and has 48 strikeouts in 87.1 innings. Stults is 7-5 with a 5.31 ERA in 19 career games against the Giants.

The Giants are 2-8 in Cains last 10 starts as a favorite and 1-7 in Cains last 8 starts with 5 days of rest. The Padres are 1-5 in their last 6 games following an off day and 0-4 in Stults' last 4 home starts. The Padres are 4-1 in Stults' last 5 home starts vs. Giants and the Giants are 9-19 in Cains last 28 starts vs. Padres.

It'd probably best to avoid this game all together with the way both teams have been playing. I'm taking the Padres simply because they're at home. 

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San Diego Padres -103

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