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Cincinnati Reds vs. Pittsburgh Pirates MLB Pick, Odds, Prediction - 7/11/14

Pittsburgh Pirates (47-44) at Cincinnati Reds (49-42)

MLB Baseball: Friday, July 11, 2014 at 7:10 pm (Great American Ball Park)

Jeff Locke (L) (2-1) (3.081) vs. Mat Latos (R) (2-1) (2.406)

The Line: Cincinnati Reds -135 / Pittsburgh Pirates +125 --- Over/Under: 7 See the Latest Odds

TV: ROOT-PIT, FSN-OH

The Cincinnati Reds and Pittsburgh Pirates begin a three-game series on Friday.

The Pirates have won six of their 10 games in the month of July and are four games above a .500 record. The Pirates pitching staff has allowed three or less runs in eight of their last 11 games. Overall, the Pirates have the 14th best ERA in baseball at 3.75. The Pirates have won 13 of their last 14 games when allowing less than four runs. Offensively, Andrew McCutchen has 10 RBI in his last nine games and Neil Walker has hit safely in nine of his last 10 games. Starting is Jeff Locke, who is 2-1 with a 3.08 ERA and has 30 strikeouts in 49.2 innings. Locke is 2-1 with a 3.03 ERA in six career starts against the Reds.

Cincinnati Reds vs. Pittsburgh Pirates MLB Pick, Odds, Prediction - 7/11/14

USA TODAY Sports

The Reds had their five-game winning streak snapped on Thursday, but are still a solid six games above a .500 record. The Reds offense has produced four or more runs in seven of their last eight games and have won 13 of their last 14 games when that’s the case. Todd Frazier has hit safely in nine of his last 10 games and Jay Bruce has 10 RBI in his last six games. Pitching, the Reds have an ERA of 3.44. Mat Latos takes the hill, and he’s 2-1 with a 2.41 ERA and has 18 strikeouts in 33.2 innings. Latos is 5-1 with a 2.96 ERA in 11 career starts against the Pirates.

The Pirates are 4-1 in Lockes last 5 starts as a road underdog and 5-2 in Lockes last 7 starts during game 1 of a series. The Reds are 25-7 in Latos' last 32 home starts and 23-10 in Latos' last 33 starts vs. National League Central. The Pirates are 5-2 in the last 7 meetings in Cincinnati.

This is a toss-up game between two teams that are starting to find their groove. I'll take my chances with the Pirates and the plus money. 

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Pittsburgh Pirates +125

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