Home Run Derby 2014: Odds-Pick-Prediction 7/14/14
Home Run Derby: Monday, July 14 2014 at 8:00 pm (Target Field)
The Line: varied See the Latest Odds
The 2014 Homerun Derby is certain to provide the national audience with plenty of impressive performances from the game's best power hitters. The format allows for seven outs with the round one winner receiving a bye to the semis. Players are reseeded with the #2 and #3 of each league squaring off with the winner facing the top guy. That sets up a NL-AL winner take all final.
USA TODAY Sports
Troy Tulowitzki // Colorado Rockies: Tulowitzki captains the National League and brings in 20 long balls at the break. When healthy he can hit for averge and power while driving in runs. Some say his numbers might be inflated due to the thin air at Coors Field which could be true to an extent but the guy makes solid contact with the ball as his .350 batting average suggests. Odds: 13-2
Giancarlo Stanton // Miami Marlins: Stanton is an imposing figure when he steps to the plate at a mammoth 6-6 and 240 pounds and is obviously not what an opposing pitcher wants to see with runners on base especially late in games. Stanton has 21 long balls thus far and leads the majors with an average of nearly 424 feet per blast. Odds: 2-1
Yasiel Puig // Los Angeles Dodgers: Everybody is familiar with Puig who is only in his first full Major League season but is already considered a star by many. At 6-3 and 230+ pounds Puig has the tremendous size many associate with smashing baseballs a long distance. Having said that Puig has only 12 bombs but when he connects the ball goes a long way. Odds: 6-1
Todd Frazier // Cincinnati Reds: Frazier is probably one of the best 3rd basemen in the game and has totaled 17 homers in 2014 with 61 career bombs but when the game's best power hitters are mentioned his name is probably not in the conversation. Not because of his numbers but more because of the bigger names out there. Odds: 12-1
Justin Morneau // Colorado Rockies: Morneau was the last player added to the National League lineup and probably a name not mentioned among the top power hitters in the game but he has some pop with 13 homers and won the contest in 2008. Throw in the fact Morneau has played in Minnesota and we have an intriguing story. Odds: 15-1
Jose Bautista // Toronto Blue Jays: When the subject of home runs is brought up Bautista is sure to be among the more popular names mentioned. Not blesssed with great size at 6-0 and 205 pounds he makes up for it with temendous strength. Bautista has 17 round trippers and 228 for his career and is the captain of the American League squad. Odds: 5-1
Brian Dozier// Minnesota Twins: Dozier is not your prototypical power hitter given his size which is listed at around 190 pounds when most home run producers are well over the 200 pound mark. Dozier does have the credentials with 16 long balls but I'm sure the feeling is the Target Field home crowd needed one of their own in the contest. Odds: 12-1
Adam Jones // Baltimore Orioles: Adam Jones has everything you want in a player with size (6-3 225) power with the ability to hit for average while driving in runs. He has proven pop with 156 homers including 16 this season and is Mr. Consistency at Camden Yards. Odds: 12-1
Yoenis Cespedes // Oakland Athletics: Cespedes is actually one of the smaller competitors in the event if you consider 5-10/210 to be small but he packs plenty of power on that frame. Although he 'only' has 14 bombs in 2014 he won the contest in 2013 with 32 dingers and will be out to show last year was no mistake. Odds: 5-1
Josh Donaldson // Oakland Athletics: Donaldson was the final participant added to the AL derby roster although his power is unquestioned. The A's slugger has smashed 20 long balls and is one reason Oakland sits atop the American League West although some back issues have slowed him over the last four weeks or so. Odds: 10-1
I think we have to give serious consideration to defending champ Yoenis Cespedes and Giancarlo Stanton especially if they get the bye to the semis and have a chance to rest. I give the edge to Stanton because he has tremendous size and strength that is a difference maker.