New York Yankees vs. Cincinnati Reds MLB Pick, Odds, Prediction - 7/19/14
Cincinnati Reds (51-44) at New York Yankees (47-47)
MLB Baseball: Saturday, July 19, 2014 at 1:05 pm (Yankee Stadium)
Alfredo Simon (R) (12-3) (2.700) vs. Brandon McCarthy (R) (3-10) (4.796)
The Line: New York Yankees -111 / Cincinnati Reds +101 --- Over/Under: 8.5 See the Latest Odds
TV: FSN-OH, YES, MLB Network
The Cincinnati Reds and New York Yankees play game two of three on Saturday at Yankee Stadium.
The Reds have won eight of their last 12 games and are six games above .500. The difference for the Reds has been an offense that has produced four or more runs in nine of their last 10 games. Scoring hasn’t come easy for the Reds much of the season, but Todd Frazier does have five RBI in his last three games and Billy Hamilton has hit safely in seven of his last nine games. The Reds pitching staff has an ERA of 3.46. Alfredo Simon takes the hill, and he’s 12-3 with a 2.70 ERA and has 75 strikeouts in 116.2 innings. Simon is 0-2 with a 5.68 ERA in six career games against the Yankees.
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The Yankees have won seven of their last 12 games and are one game above .500. Even with the Yankees pitching issues, they have allowed three or less runs in four straight games, giving the team a chance to turn things around. Overall, the Yanks have an ERA of 3.95, 20th in baseball. Offensively, Jacoby Ellsbury has homered three times in his last nine games and Brian McCann has hit safely in nine of his last 10 games. Starting is Brandon McCarthy, who is 3-10 with a 4.80 ERA and has 96 strikeouts in 116.1 innings. McCarthy is 0-2 with a 14.73 ERA in three career games against the Reds.
The Reds are 4-0 in Simons last 4 road starts and 14-2 in Simons last 16 starts overall. The Yankees are 2-5 in their last 7 during game 2 of a series and 7-3 in their last 10 interleague games.
Simon has been money all year, while the Yankees have been up-and-down all year. I'll take the Reds in the spot and the plus money.