Boston Red Sox at Toronto Blue Jays MLB Pick, Odds, Prediction 7/22/14
Boston Red Sox (47-52) at Toronto Blue Jays (51-49)
MLB Baseball: Tuesday, July 22, 2014 at 7:07 pm (Rogers Centre)
Jake Peavy (R) (1-8) (4.589) vs. JA Happ (L) (7-5) (4.750)
The Line: Toronto Blue Jays -108 / Boston Red Sox -102 --- Over/Under: 9 See the Latest Odds
TV: NESN, RSN
The Red Sox and Blue Jays meet for game two of their four-game set after Boston pummeled Toronto 14-1 in the opener on Monday night.
The Red Sox haven’t been .500 since May 15th, but after going 8-2 in their last ten games including winning all four out of the All-Star break, they sit just five games below that mark with a strong opportunity to make up more ground catching the reeling Blue Jays at the perfect time. The Sox were swinging the bats with confidence on Monday as Stephen Drew hit a three-run homer, David Ortiz hit two two-run shots, and Mike Napoli added a solo shot in the 18 hit, 14 run effort. Offense hasn’t come easy for Boston for most of the year, but it’s possible for a dominant win like Monday’s to bolster a team’s confidence moving forward and generate some positive change. Tuesday’s starter Jake Peavy would certainly appreciate some support as he’s received just two runs of support during his last 20 innings pitched. Peavy has a 2.77 ERA in two July starts, but his numbers are bogged down by a poor May and June as he enters with a 1-8 record, WHIP of 1.41, and ERA of 4.59. While Peavy’s road numbers are poor, he did earn a win at the Rogers Centre way back on April 25th, allowing one run on five hits over seven innings of work. The Red Sox are 21-26 away from home on the season.
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The Toronto Blue Jays had a short run atop the AL East, making many backers believe that a perennial .500 team had finally turned the corner after years of pricy acquisitions, but the success has come to a crashing halt of late as the Jays are clawing just to maintain a winning record. The pitching staff that seems to be the team’s undoing season after season was to blame on Monday night as starter Drew Hutchinson was blasted for six runs in 2.2 innings and reliever Brad Mills allowed another eight runs in two innings of work. The Toronto bats couldn’t get anything going against Boston starter John Lackey as injuries to sluggers Edwin Encarnacion and Adam Lind continue to hamper the team’s output. Despite a poor stretch, the Blue Jays are still very much alive in an AL East division that lacks the same quality as in years past. Toronto will look to rebound on Tuesday as they send erratic lefty JA Happ to the mound for his 14th start of the season. Happ last appeared in bullpen duty on July 12th after a couple rough starts to begin the month allowing nine runs in 11.1 innings of work against the Brewers and Angels. For the season Happ has a very high WHIP of 1.55 and ERA of 4.95. Happ is much better at home with an ERA of 3.89 but struggled against the Red Sox in Boston on May 20th, allowing four runs on seven hits over five innings. The Blue Jays are 27-23 at home on the season.
If you didn’t catch Mitch’s App Attack pick on Monday night cashing the over in game one of this series, you missed out on one of the easier winners you’ll get all season. While the over may certainly hit again on Tuesday, the Red Sox look to be the better option as a slight dog getting nearly even money.