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Texas Rangers vs. New York Yankees MLB Pick, Odds, Prediction - 7/28/14

New York Yankees (54-49) at Texas Rangers (41-63)

MLB Baseball: Monday, July 28, 2014 at 8:05 pm (Globe Life Park)

David Phelps (R) (5-4) (3.958) vs. Yu Darvish (R) (9-6) (2.921)

The Line: Texas Rangers -156 / New York Yankees +146 --- Over/Under: 8 See the Latest Odds

TV: YES, FSN-SW

The New York Yankees and Texas Rangers begin a three-game series on Monday.

The Yankees are 7-3 since the All Star break and four games above a .500 record. The thing that has been most impressive for the Yankees so far has been their pitching staff that has allowed three or fewer runs in six of their last 10 games despite a banged up rotation. Overall, the Yankees have an ERA of 3.81, which is good for 17th in baseball. Offensively, Brian McCann has hit safely in eight of his last 10 games and Carlos Beltran has seven RBI in his last 10 games. David Phelps takes the mound, and he’s 5-4 with a 3.77 ERA and has 86 strikeouts in 100.1 innings. Phelps is 2-0 with a 4.38 ERA in three career games against the Rangers.

Texas Rangers vs. New York Yankees MLB Pick, Odds, Prediction - 7/28/14

USA TODAY Sports

The Rangers are a horrible 3-7 since the All Star break and 23 games below a .500 record. Not much has changed for the Rangers, especially their pitching staff that has allowed four or more runs in 12 of their last 18 games. Overall, the Rangers have an ERA of 4.81, which is good for 29th in all of baseball. Offensively, Elvis Andrus has hit safely in eight of his last 10 games and Adrian Beltre has nine hits in his last 10 games. Starting is Yu Darvish, who is 9-6 with a 2.92 ERA and has 159 strikeouts in 126.1 innings. Darvish is 2-1 with a 1.85 ERA in four career starts against the Yankees. 

The Yankees are 1-7 in Phelps' last 8 starts as a road underdog and 1-8 in Phelps' last 9 road starts overall. The Rangers are 8-3 in Darvishs last 11 starts as a home favorite and 2-5 in Darvishs last 7 starts overall. The Yankees are 4-1 in the last 5 meetings.

With the way the Rangers have been playing the last couple of months, I don't know if I'd picked them if Nolan Ryan was pitching. There's extreme value with the Yanks, especially considering Darvish hasn't been the same pitcher he's been in the past. Give me NY on the road. 

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New York Yankees +146

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