New York Mets vs. Philadelphia Phillies MLB Pick, Odds, Prediction 7/29/14
Philadelphia Phillies (46-60) at New York Mets (51-55)
MLB Baseball: Tuesday, July 29, 2014 at 7:10 pm (Citi Field)
Cole Hamels (L) (5-5) (2.722) vs. Dillon Gee (R) (4-3) (3.488)
The Line: New York Mets +106 / Philadelphia Phillies -116 --- Over/Under: 7 See the Latest Odds
TV: CSPh, SNY
NL East rivals collide in Queens as the Phillies visit the Mets for game two of their three game series.
The Philadelphia Phillies continued to struggle with the rival Mets on Monday night as their 7-1 loss dropped them to 3-7 in the season series. Starter A.J. Burnett may have over-exerted himself in his previous start against the Giants, where he pitched eight scoreless innings in an ESPN showdown to demonstrate his trade value. The result was a rough outing at Citi Field where the 37 year old veteran allowed a quick four runs in the first inning and three more on a HR to Travis d'Arnaud in the fifth, creating a 7-0 hole the visitors could never dig their way out of. It’s likely only a matter of time before we see the Phillies unload some of their high-priced, low-production talent as their loaded roster hasn’t lived up to its billing this season. The Phillies may have a chance to rebound on Tuesday though as Cole Hamels gets the start. Hamels has been outstanding in 18 starts this year as he enters this game with a WHIP of 1.15 and ERA of 2.72 while averaging 1.02 strikeouts per inning. In his last 10 starts Hamels has pitched more than six innings nine out of ten times, and has not allowed more than three earned runs in any of those starts. The Phillies are 24-27 away from home which isn’t terrible, but it makes you wonder where this team could be if they protected their home field.
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The New York Mets improved to 51-55 on the year with last night’s win, and sitting just four games below .500 with this much time left in the season the Mets are certainly believers that they can reach the postseason with the addition of the second wild card spot. Bartolo Colon continued to defy father time in last night’s game allowing just one runs while scattering ten hits over 7.1 innings to pick up his tenth win of the season. Colon certainly appreciated the run support he got as the Mets tallied seven runs on nine hits in a game that ended up lopsided in favor of the home team despite the Phillies racking up four more hits. The Mets will look to continue their dominance of the Phillies as they send Dillon Gee to the mound. Gee has only made three starts since May 10th as he endured a lengthy stint on the DL. In his three recent starts, Gee was sharp at home on July 9th vs. Atlanta allowing just one run on six hits over seven innings of work, but has since been shelled in his two latest road starts in San Diego and Milwaukee allowing a total of 10 runs on 11 hits over 10 innings of work. For the season the righty has a WHIP of 1.09 and ERA of 3.49 to go along with a 4-3 record. The Mets are 26-23 at home on the season.
While Gee could certainly stack up with Hamels on a good day, he’s a bit hard to trust right now after two rough starts. The Phillies aren’t much easier to trust though so tread lightly with backing Hamels given the Mets dominance in this rivalry this year.