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Boston Red Sox vs. Toronto Blue Jays MLB Pick, Odds, Prediction 7/30/14

Toronto Blue Jays (58-50) at Boston Red Sox (48-59)

MLB Baseball: Wednesday, July 30, 2014 at 7:10 pm (Fenway Park)

Mark Buehrle (L) (10-7) (3.192) vs. Brandon Workman (R) (1-3) (4.13)

The Line: Boston Red Sox -119 / Toronto Blue Jays +109 --- Over/Under: 8.5 See the Latest Odds


The Blue Jays look for a series sweep in Beantown against the Red Sox.

The Toronto Blue Jays picked up another win at Fenway last night as Marcus Stroman baffled the Red Sox bats for the second time in a week in a 4-2 finish.  Colby Rasmus hit his 14th HR of the season, Anthony Gose delivered the go ahead two run double in the 4th, and Melky Cabrera delivered some insurance with an RBI in the 9th as four runs on 12 hits was enough to get the job done on Tuesday night.  The Blue Jays have a great chance to grab control of the AL East by week’s end as they head to Houston for a four game set following tonight’s game while the Orioles have to battle a pair of teams with winning records in the Angels and Mariners.  Toronto will look to continue rolling on Wednesday as they send veteran lefty Mark Buehrle to the mound.  Buehrle is having by far his worst month of the season in July with an ERA of 7.20 as he enters this game off a pair of horrendous starts.  The big lefty has also yet to record a win since June 1st while losing six of his last nine starts.  For the season Buehrle has a WHIP of 1.34 and ERA of 3.19 to go along with a 10-7 record.   The Blue Jays are 28-27 away from home on the year. 

Boston Red Sox vs. Toronto Blue Jays MLB Pick, Odds, Prediction 7/30/14


The Boston Red Sox just can’t seem to dig their way out of a season-long championship hangover as last night’s loss dropped them 11 games below .500.  The struggling offense played the part last night mustering just two runs on seven hits as a Dustin Pedroia RBI double and HR by Xander Bogaerts weren’t enough to contend with the more reliable Jays.  Boston could have a chance to avoid the sweep on Wednesday if Jon Lester does indeed get the ball amidst trade rumors swirling about in advance of Thursday’s deadline.  Lester has been one of the few bright spots on the team as he enters this game with a WHIP of 1.12 and ERA of 2.52 to go along with a 10-7 record.  Lester has really turned it on in the second half with an ERA of just 0.93 in four starts in July as the lefty has clearly made his case as an asset for a postseason contender.   The Red Sox are 26-28 at home on the season.

The Red Sox start both the better pitcher and more in-form pitcher in this game, but they’re still not a team I’m jumping to lay odds with.  I’ll roll the dice with the hotter team in hopes that the trade talks could prove distracting for Lester.

*Update* Lester has been scratched from this start although as of yet he has not been traded.   With Brandon Workman getting the nod in his place, my new pick is on the over.

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Over 8.5 (1 unit)

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