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Chicago Cubs vs. Colorado Rockies MLB Pick, Odds, Prediction - 7/31/14

Colorado Rockies (43-62) at Chicago Cubs (43-61)

MLB Baseball: Thursday, July 31, 2014 at 2:20 pm (Wrigley Field)

Tyler Matzek (L) (2-4) (4.281) vs. Jake Arrieta (R) (5-2) (2.176)

The Line: Chicago Cubs -161 / Colorado Rockies +151 --- Over/Under: See the Latest Odds

TV: CSN-CHI

The Colorado Rockies and Chicago Cubs wrap up their four-game series on Thursday.

The Rockies are 5-8 since the All Star break and 19 games below a .500 record. It’s no secret that the Rockies are the most difficult team to bet on given the fact they have the worst ERA in baseball at 4.93. The Rockies have allowed four or more runs in 11 of their last 14 games and have lost nine of those games. Offensively, Justin Morneau has three RBI since returning from the DL and Nolan Arenado has hit safely in nine of his last 10 games. Pedro Hernandez makes his first start of the season. This is Hernandez’s first career game against the Cubs.

Chicago Cubs vs. Colorado Rockies MLB Pick, Odds, Prediction - 7/31/14

USA TODAY Sports

The Cubs are 4-8 since the All Star break and 18 games below a .500 record. Much like the Rockies, the Cubs pitching staff has fallen off a cliff, allowing four or more runs in 15 of their last 20 games. Overall, the Cubs have an ERA of 3.86 and have lost 13 of their last 16 games when allowing more than three runs. Offensively, Anthony Rizzo has 14 hits in his last 10 games and Luis Valbuena has homered three times in his last eight games. Starting is Jake Arrieta, who is 5-2 with a 2.18 ERA and has 99 strikeouts in 91 innings. This is Arrieta’s first career game against the Rockies. 

The Rockies are 5-16 in their last 21 vs. National League Central and 15-38 in their last 53 games as an underdog. The Cubs are 4-1 in Arrietas last 5 starts vs. a team with a losing record and 5-2 in Arrietas last 7 home starts. 

There's something that just doesn't feel good in making the Cubs since giant favorites. Give me the Rockies for the value, but I really don't trust either one of these teams. 

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Colorado Rockies +151

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