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Kansas City Royals vs. Minnesota Twins MLB Pick, Odds, Prediction 7/31/14

Minnesota Twins (48-58) at Kansas City Royals (54-52)

MLB Baseball: Thursday, July 31, 2014 at 8:10 pm (Kauffman Stadium)

Kevin Correia (R) (5-13) (5.063) vs. Yordano Ventura (R) (6-8) (3.686)

The Line: Kansas City Royals -179 / Minnesota Twins +169 --- Over/Under: 8 See the Latest Odds

TV: FSN, FSKC

The Royals and Twins play the rubber match of their AL Central series.

It’s been a rough stretch for the Minnesota Twins as last night’s 3-2 loss dropped them to 4-8 to start the second half of the season.  Starter Phil Hughes was in cruise control for five innings playing with a 1-0 lead on a Josh Willingham HR, but he unwound in the 6th allowing three runs on three RBI doubles.  The slumping offense got one run back in the 7th but the rally fell short in the end as Minnesota couldn’t cash in a runner on second with one out against closer Greg Holland in the 9th. For Thursday’s game the Twins will start Kevin Correia who has done little to justify his $5.5M salary all season.  Correia struggled immensely in his most recent two outings, allowing a total of 11 runs (ten earned) on 17 hits while lasting just four innings each time.  Correia is actually a better pitcher on the road than at home but he hasn’t had an easy time with the Royals this year going 0-2 in three starts with an ERA of 4.26.  For the season Correia has a WHIP of 1.51, opponent batting average of .302, ERA of 5.06 and record of 5-13.  The Twins are 24-29 on the road this season.

Kansas City Royals vs. Minnesota Twins MLB Pick, Odds, Prediction 7/31/14

USA TODAY Sports

The Kansas City Royals are playing .500 ball out of the All-Star break as last night’s win brought them to 6-6 in the second half of the season.  Salvador Perez, Alex Gordon and Mike Moustakas all had RBI doubles in last night’s win as the Royals made three runs on nine hits stand up to get the winning result as starter Danny Duffy pitched well enough to win but again didn’t get a win.  On Thursday the Royals will turn to young righty Yordano Ventura who has been up and down this year but has shown great promise when on his game.  Ventura struggled in his only start against the Twins back on April 20th, allowing four runs on six hits while walking four over just four innings of work.   Ventura hasn’t been overly impressive in two starts since the All-Star break allowing a total of ten runs (nine earned) on 15 hits while walking five over 10 2/3 innings.  For the year the righty has a WHIP of 1.32 and ERA of 3.63 while posting a record of 7-8.  The Royals are 26-27 at home on the year, a mark they will need to improve upon in order to seriously threaten for the second wild card spot.

The bats have been quiet thus far in this series but I see that changing in this one as Correia is one of the weaker starters in the American League.

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Over 8 (2 units)

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