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Philadelphia Phillies vs. New York Mets MLB Pick, Odds, Prediction 8/8/14

New York Mets (54-61) at Philadelphia Phillies (52-63)

MLB Baseball: Friday, August 8, 2014 at 7:05 pm (Citizens Bank Park)

Bartolo Colon (R) (10-9) (4.121) vs. AJ Burnett (R) (6-11) (4.163)

The Line: Philadelphia Phillies -115 / New York Mets +105 --- Over/Under: 7.5 See the Latest Odds


The Phillies host the Mets for game one of a four game series at Citizen’s Bank Park in Philadelphia.

The New York Mets dropped the finale of their series in Washington on Wednesday afternoon by a score of 5-3 in a 13 inning marathon.  The Mets rallied to tie the game in the 7th inning but Carlos Torres eventually took the loss in extras serving up a home run ball to Bryce Harper.   The Mets are just 2-5 in August and have played their way out of wild card contention with a lineup that ranks 29th in the league in batting average at .237 and 24th in the league in runs scored.   

Philadelphia Phillies vs. New York Mets MLB Pick, Odds, Prediction 8/8/14


Seeing Philadelphia should be a welcome sign for the Mets as their offense unloaded in the latest series between these clubs, scoring 18 runs while winning two of three contests (the loss was a shutout).  Friday’s night pitching matchup will be a rematch from July 28th, where Bartolo Colon baffled the Philly bats allowing just one run on ten hits over 7.2 innings of work; the offense also hammered A.J. Burnett scoring seven runs on eight hits over just five innings.  Colon wasn’t nearly as successful in his latest start, getting bombed by the Giants in one of his worst starts of the season, allowing six runs on eight hits over just 4.2 innings.  For the season Colon has a WHIP of 1.18 and ERA of 4.12 while compiling at record of 10-9 at the age of 41.

The Mets are 26-34 away from home on the season.

The Philadelphia Phillies are coming off a sweep of the Astros, rallying from five runs down to seal last night’s 6-5 victory as slugger Ryan Howard had a moment of brilliance hitting a go-ahead grand slam in the eighth inning.   The Phillies rank in the bottom 10 in all four major offensive categories, but with the talent they possess it’s not very surprising when they find ways to produce.   While the Astros are one of the weaker opponents in baseball, the Phillies should have considerable momentum heading into this series, magnified by the disdain of the fan base for the visiting Mets.

Philadelphia will send A.J. Burnett to the mound to open up Friday’s series, hoping that the veteran right-hander can regain both his form and composure.  Burnett was ejected in the second inning of his last start, allowing his frustration with the home plate umpire to boil over after giving up five runs (just one earned) before the end of the 2nd inning.  A.J. has shown flashes of his ability this year, but for the season his numbers are pedestrian as he enters this contest with a WHIP of 1.38 and ERA of 4.16 while going 6-11 on the season.  Home field has definitely mattered for Burnett though as he owns an ERA of 3.03 at Citizen’s Bank Park despite owning just a 3-4 record over 11 home starts.

The Phillies are just 25-33 on their home field this season.

The previous matchup just 11 days ago yielded eight runs in pitcher friendly Citi Field, and despite Colon allowing just one run he did give up 10 hits.  I’ll admit I’ve been wrong more than right defaultly expecting both of these veterans to struggle as the season drags on, but I’m playing the over here.

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Over 7.5 (5 units)

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