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Baltimore Orioles vs. St. Louis Cardinals MLB Pick, Odds, Prediction 8/9/14

St. Louis Cardinals (61-53) at Baltimore Orioles (66-49)

MLB Baseball: Saturday, August 9, 2014 at 4:05 pm (Camden Yards)

John Lackey (R) (12-7) (3.554) vs. Ubaldo Jimenez (R) (3-8) (4.515)

The Line: Baltimore Orioles -106 / St. Louis Cardinals -104 --- Over/Under: 8.5 See the Latest Odds


The Cardinals and Orioles meet for game two of their three game series on Saturday night after a home run barrage by the home side on Friday night.

The St. Louis Cardinals might be ready to pull the plug on the Justin Masterson experiment after last night’s 12-2 loss – Masterson lasted just two innings, allowing five runs on seven hits and setting a bad tone for what turned into a beat down.  The Cardinals relievers struggled in the aftermath as Nick Greenwood and Sam Freeman combined to allow seven more runs across the next four innings, all of which came via the long ball.  The Cardinals have been struggling enough at the plate this season that they had no chance of even making the score line respectable, managing just two runs on four hits in the lopsided result.  With the Pirates defeating San Diego and in line to likely defeat them once or twice more, the Cardinals risk losing positioning in both the NL Central and wild card races with further poor performances.

Baltimore Orioles vs. St. Louis Cardinals MLB Pick, Odds, Prediction 8/9/14


The Cardinals will try to regroup as they send newly acquired John Lackey to the mound.  Lackey pitched seven innings allowing two runs on seven hits in his first start as a Cardinal against the Brewers as he managed to pick up the win.  Things haven’t been nearly as smooth against the Orioles for the veteran right hander; Lackey is 1-2 in three starts against Baltimore this year with an ERA of 7.02 and opponent batting average of .315.  For the season Lackey owns a WHIP of 1.22, ERA of 3.55 and record of 12-7 (*across both leagues).

The Baltimore Orioles broke out the heavy lumber on Friday night, belting six home runs as Manny Machado had a three run shot, JJ Hardy hit a solo and three run homer, Adam Jones and Chris Davis hit solo home runs, and Ryan Flaherty capped the effort with a two run homer.  Chris Tillman picked up his 9th win of the year pitching 6.2 innings and allowing just two runs on the night.  The Orioles have a five game cushion in the AL East, but the Yankees are on the rise of late and the Blue Jays are also within striking distance given the number of divisional games yet to be played.

The Orioles may need to continue swinging a hot bat on Saturday as Ubaldo Jimenez makes his first start since July 5th after a DL stint with an ankle injury.  Jimenez has had mixed results this season, stemming from the fact that he throws a lot of pitches and therefore walks a lot of batters.  For the season Jimenez has a WHIP of 1.54, ERA of 4.52 and record of just 3-8 across 18 starts.  Most of the Cardinals haven’t seen the often erratic righty, but Johnny Peralta is .346 against him over 26 at bats.

The Orioles are 31-25 at Camden Yards on the season.

While both pitchers have certainly had their share of strong outings in their careers, both have been lit up plenty as well. After last night’s home run barrage I think the offense continues and that the warm weather by the bay in Baltimore’s Inner Harbor could certainly be playing a role in the flight of the ball.

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Over 8.5 (2 units)

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