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Pittsburgh Pirates vs. San Diego Padres MLB Pick, Odds, Prediction 8/10/14

San Diego Padres (53-62) at Pittsburgh Pirates (62-54)

MLB Baseball: Sunday, August 10, 2014 at 1:35 pm (PNC Park)

Tyson Ross (R) (10-10) (2.619) vs. Charlie Morton (R) (5-10) (3.430)

The Line: Pittsburgh Pirates -123 / San Diego Padres +113 --- Over/Under: 7 See the Latest Odds


The Padres and Pirates play the rubber match of their weekend series on Sunday afternoon at PNC Park.

For the second straight day a 2-1 lead was established in the first inning and became the final score as well.  On Saturday the Padres came out as the winners as Jedd Gyorko and Yasmani Grandal delivered RBI’s in their first plate appearances and Eric Stults baffled the Pirates bats with offspeed pitches to pick up his first road win of the season.   The Padres bullpen managed to work out of trouble in both the 7th and 8th innings as well, bailing out the scuffling offense which managed just four hits on the night. 

Pittsburgh Pirates vs. San Diego Padres MLB Pick, Odds, Prediction 8/10/14


San Diego will look to grab a rare series win on the road as they send their top young pitcher Tyson Ross to the mound.  Ross has yielded two earned runs or less while pitching six innings or more in nine of his last ten starts.  The 27 year old righty would probably have more wins playing for a different team, as he enters this contest with a WHIP of 1.18, ERA of 2.62 and 10-10 record on the season.  Ross’ ERA jumps to 3.53 on the road, but he’s also at his best in day games with an ERA of 1.29 across six starts; he has not faced the Pirates this season.

The Padres are 22-35 on the road this season.

The Pittsburgh Pirates have to be kicking themselves for dropping Saturday night’s game as the Brewers won yet again.  The Pirates offense just lacks pop at the moment with Andrew McCutchen and Neil Walker nursing injuries and Pedro Alvarez both slumping and failing to make it into the lineup in borderline situations (like last night’s) due to a trend of deficient defense.  The Pirates had runners at 2nd and 3rd with nobody out in the bottom of the 8th inning last night, but failed to tie the game as Ike Davis lined out softly, Starling Marte suffered yet another strikeout, and Gregory Polanco flied out.  The Pirates had nine hits last night but only managed to plate a single runner.

Pittsburgh is likely to be involved in another pitcher’s duel on Sunday as Charlie Morton toes the rubber for the series finale.  Morton has had mixed results for the season, pitching extremely well at home and struggling on the road.  In ten home starts, Morton has an ERA of 2.09, with opponents batting just .235 against him.  Combined for the season the 30 year old righty has WHIP of 1.23 and ERA of 3.43 while struggling in the win/loss column at 5-10

The Pirates are 37-23 at home on the season after last night’s loss.

Pitching has dominated this series thus far with both games finishing with totals of three runs.  I don’t see a lot of evidence supporting deviation from that trend.  Take the under.

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Under 7 (1 unit)

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