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Chicago Cubs vs. Milwaukee Brewers MLB Pick, Odds, Prediction - 8/11/14

Milwaukee Brewers (65-52) at Chicago Cubs (49-66)

MLB Baseball: Monday, August 11, 2014 at 8:05 pm (Wrigley Field)

Yovani Gallardo (R) (6-6) (3.544) vs. Jake Arrieta (R) (6-3) (2.796)

The Line: Chicago Cubs -101 / Milwaukee Brewers -109 --- Over/Under: See the Latest Odds

TV: FSN-WI, CSN-CHI

The Milwaukee Brewers and Chicago Cubs begin a four-game series on Monday at Wrigley Field.

The Brewers are 5-4 in the month of August and 12 games above a .500 record. The Brewers pitching staff has really been solid, allowing three or less runs in six of their last 10 games. Overall, the Brewers have an ERA of 3.68, which is 16th in baseball, and they’ve won four straight when allowing three or fewer runs. Offensively, Khris Davis has a hit in six of his last eight games and Aramis Ramirez has a hit in nine of his last 10 games. Yovani Gallardo takes the hill, and he’s 6-6 with a 3.54 ERA and has 109 strikeouts in 139.2 innings. Gallardo is 8-3 with a 3.12 ERA in 17 career starts against the Cubs.

Chicago Cubs vs. Milwaukee Brewers MLB Pick, Odds, Prediction - 8/11/14

USA TODAY Sports

The Cubs have won four of their last seven games and are 16 games below a .500 record. The Cubs pitching staff has been up-and-down, allowing three or less runs in five of their last 10 games. Overall, the Cubs have an ERA of 3.87, which is 20th in baseball, and they’ve won seven straight games when allowing three or less runs. Offensively, Anthony Rizzo has a hit in eight of his last 10 games and Starlin Castro has a nine-game hitting streak. Starting is Jake Arrieta, who is 6-3 with a 2.80 ERA and has 109 strikeouts in 103 innings. Arrieta is 1-1 with a 3.00 ERA in three career starts against the Brewers. 

The Brewers are 48-22 in Gallardos last 70 starts vs. a team with a losing record and 1-7 in Gallardos last 8 starts overall. The Cubs are 6-2 in Arrietas last 8 home starts and 1-4 in Arrietas last 5 starts as a favorite. The Brewers are 38-16 in the last 54 meetings.

It's impossible to turn down the Brewers at this price, especially considering Gallardo has been money against the Cubs in his career. 

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Milwaukee Brewers -109

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