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Miami Marlins vs. St. Louis Cardinals MLB Pick, Odds, Prediction - 8/11/14

St. Louis Cardinals (61-54) at Miami Marlins (57-59)

MLB Baseball: Monday, August 11, 2014 at 7:10 pm (Marlins Park)

Shelby Miller (R) (8-8) (4.018) vs. Tom Koehler (R) (7-9) (3.801)

The Line: Miami Marlins -105 / St. Louis Cardinals -105 --- Over/Under: 7.5 See the Latest Odds

TV: FSN-MW, FSN-FL

The St. Louis Cardinals and Miami Marlins begin a three-game series Monday at Marlins Park.

The Cardinals are 5-4 in the month of August and eight games above a .500 record. The Cardinals offense continues to be a roller coaster, as they’ve produced three or less runs in eight of their last 13 games. The Cardinals have lost eight of their last 11 games when producing three or fewer runs. Matt Holliday has a hit in eight of his last 10 games and Jhonny Peralta has five hits in his last two games. The Caridnals have an ERA of 3.59, which is 11th in baseball. Selby Miller takes the mound, and he’s 8-8 with a 3.99 ERA and has 85 strikeouts in 128.2 innings. This is Miller’s second career game against the Marlins.

Miami Marlins vs. St. Louis Cardinals MLB Pick, Odds, Prediction - 8/11/14

USA TODAY Sports

The Marlins are 4-5 in the month of August and three games below .500. The Marlins have also had issues scoring runs, as they’ve been held to three or less runs in 10 of their last 12 games. The Marlins have lost seven of their last nine games when scoring three or less runs. Giancarlo Stanton has five homers in his last 10 games and Casey McGehee has six hits in his last four games. The Marlins have an ERA of 3.86, which is 18th in baseball. Starting is Tom Koehler, who is 7-9 with a 3.80 ERA and has 104 strikeouts in 137.1 innings. This is Koehler’s second career game against the Cardinals. 

The Cardinals are 2-6 in Millers last 8 starts vs. a team with a losing record and 2-6 in Millers last 8 starts overall. The Marlins are 1-5 in Koehlers last 6 home starts and 3-7 in Koehlers last 10 starts overall. The Cardinals are 20-8 in the last 28 meetings in Miami.

The Marlins have bounced back all year from tough losses and I expect nothing different here. Take the fish at home. 

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Miami Marlins -105

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