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Boston Red Sox vs. Houston Astros MLB Pick, Odds, Prediction - 8/16/14

Houston Astros (51-72) at Boston Red Sox (55-66)

MLB Baseball: Saturday, August 16, 2014 at 7:10 pm (Fenway Park)

Brad Peacock (R) (3-6) (4.927) vs. Rubby De La Rosa (R) (4-4) (3.208)

The Line: Boston Red Sox -180 / Houston Astros +170 --- Over/Under: 9 See the Latest Odds

TV: CSN-HOU, NESN

The Houston Astros and Boston Red Sox meet Saturday night for game three at Fenway Park.

The Houston Astros have split their last eight games and are 21 games below a .500 record. The Astros offense has picked up the pace a bit lately, producing four or more runs in six of their last nine games. The Astros have won eight of their last 12 games when scoring more than three runs. Chris Carter has 15 hits in his last 10 games and Jose Altuve has a hit in seven of his last 10 games. The Houston Astros have an ERA of 4.41, which is 28th in the majors. Brad Peacock gets the ball, and he’s 3-8 with a 5.25 ERA and has 86 strikeouts in 97.2 innings. Peacock is 0-2 with a 14.73 ERA in two career starts against the Red Sox.

Boston Red Sox vs. Houston Astros MLB Pick, Odds, Prediction - 8/16/14

USA TODAY Sports

The Boston Red Sox have won five of their last seven games and are 11 games below .500. The Red Sox offense remains inconsistent, producing three or less runs in six of their last 10 games. The Red Sox have lost nine of their last 13 games when being held to three or less runs. David Ortiz has a four-game hitting streak and Mike Napoli has four RBIs in his last three games. The Boston Red Sox have an ERA of 3.85, which is 19th in baseball. Starting is Rubby De La Rosa, who is 4-4 with a 3.21 ERA and has 48 strikeouts in 67.1 innings. De La Rosa is 0-1 with a 6.75 ERA in three career games against the Astros.

The Astros are 1-6 in Peacock's last 7 road starts and 0-4 in Peacock's last 4 starts overall. The Red Sox are 4-1 in De La Rosa's last 5 home starts and 2-5 in their last 7 games as a favorite. 

I'll take the over in this game considering there's value with the Red Sox ML. Both pitchers have been wild this season and Peacock has been crushed in his two career starts against the Boston Red Sox. Expect a lot of runs here. 

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Over 9

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