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Washington Nationals vs. Pittsburgh Pirates MLB Pick, Odds, Prediction - 8/16/14

Pittsburgh Pirates (64-58) at Washington Nationals (67-53)

MLB Baseball: Saturday, August 16, 2014 at 7:05 pm (Nationals Park)

Jeff Locke (L) (4-3) (3.977) vs. Gio Gonzalez (L) (6-9) (4.000)

The Line: Washington Nationals -160 / Pittsburgh Pirates +150 --- Over/Under: 7.5 See the Latest Odds

TV: ROOT-PIT, WUSA 9, MASN

The Pittsburgh Pirates and Washington Nationals play Saturday night at Nationals Park.

The Pittsburgh Pirates have lost five of their last seven games and are six games above a .500 record. The issue during this stretch has been a Pirates pitching staff that has allowed five or more runs in five of their last six games. Overall, the Pittsburgh Pirates have an ERA of 3.72, which is 16th in baseball, and they’ve lost 10 of their last 14 games when allowing four or more runs. Offensively, Russell Martin has a hit in nine of his last 10 games and Pedro Alvarez has just three hits in his last 10 games. Jeff Locke takes the mound, and he’s 4-3 with a 3.98 ERA and has 57 strikeouts in 86 innings. This is Locke’s second career game against the Nationals.

Washington Nationals vs. Pittsburgh Pirates MLB Pick, Odds, Prediction - 8/16/14

USA TODAY Sports

The Washington Nationals have won four straight and are 14 games above .500. The Nationals pitching staff is getting the job done, allowing three or less runs in seven of their last nine games. Overall, the Washington Nationals have an ERA of 3.08, which is third in the majors, and the’ve won eight of their last nine games when allowing three or less runs. Offensively, Wilson Ramos has a hit in eight of his last 10 games and Anthony Rendon has a seven-game hitting streak. Starting is Gio Gonzalez, who is 6-9 with a 4.00 ERA and has 114 strikeouts in 108 innings. Gonzalez is 2-0 with a 3.28 ERA in four career starts against the Pirates.

The Pirates are 4-0 in Locke's last 4 starts vs. National League East and 8-3 in Locke's last 11 starts overall. The Nationals are 7-3 in Gonzalez's last 10 home starts and 0-4 in Gonzalez's last 4 starts overall. 

Sorry, Gonzalez simply hasn't been himself lately and isn't worth all of the juice he's getting in this matchup. I'll take a shot with Locke and the Pittsburgh Pirates for the value. 

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Pittsburgh Pirates +150

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