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Cincinnati Reds vs. Chicago Cubs MLB Pick, Odds, Prediction - 8/26/14

Chicago Cubs (58-72) at Cincinnati Reds (63-68)

MLB Baseball: Tuesday, August 26, 2014 at 7:10 pm (Great American Ball Park)

Travis Wood (L) (7-11) (4.909) vs. Johnny Cueto (R) (15-7) (2.196)

The Line: Cincinnati Reds -207 / Chicago Cubs +192 --- Over/Under: 7 See the Latest Odds

TV: CSN-CHI, FSN-OH

The Chicago Cubs and Cincinnati Reds begin a three-game series Tuesday at the Great American Ball Park.

The Chicago Cubs have won six of their last eight games and have pulled within 14 games of a .500 record. The difference during this stretch has been a Cubs pitching staff that has allowed three or less runs in 11 of their last 15 games. Overall, the Chicago Cubs have an ERA of 3.71, which is 17th in the majors, and they’ve won six straight games when allowing three or less runs. Offensively, Starlin Castro has hit safely in eight of his last 10 games and Anthony Rizzo has five RBIs in his last 10 games. Travis Wood takes the mound, and he’s 7-11 with a 4.91 ERA and has 126 strikeouts in 150.1 innings. Wood is 1-5 with a 3.68 ERA in eight career starts against the Reds.

Cincinnati Reds vs. Chicago Cubs MLB Pick, Odds, Prediction - 8/26/14

USA TODAY Sports

The Cincinnati Reds have lost seven of their last nine games and are five games below .500. The Reds pitching staff has fallen apart lately, allowing five or more runs in six of their last nine games. Overall, the Cincinnati Reds have an ERA of 3.52, which is ninth in the majors, and they’ve lost 19 straight games when allowing more than three runs. Offensively, Todd Frazier has homered twice in his last six games and Brandon Phillips has a hit in five of his seven games since returning from the DL. Starting is Johnny Cueto, who is 15-7 with a 2.20 ERA and has 191 strikeouts in 192.2 innings. Cueto is 9-6 with a 2.90 ERA in 20 career starts against the Cubs.

The Cubs are 6-1 in their last 7 games following an off day and 6-2 in Woods last 8 starts during game 1 of a series. The Reds are 4-10 in their last 14 games following a win and 5-1 in Cuetos last 6 starts. The Cubs are 1-4 in the last 5 meetings in Cincinnati.

I was orginally going to pick the Reds with Cueto on the mound, but oddmakers hit us with this line. The Cubs have been money after a day off and are actually playing decent baseball over the last week, while the Reds have been falling apart. Given the value, I'll take a shot with the Cubs. 

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Chicago Cubs +192

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