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Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Sox MLB Pick, Odds, Prediction - 9/1/14

Boston Red Sox (60-76) at Tampa Bay Rays (66-71)

MLB Baseball: Monday, September 1, 2014 at 1:10 pm (Tropicana Field)

Rubby De La Rosa (R) (4-5) (3.810) vs. Drew Smyly (L) (8-10) (3.484)

The Line: Tampa Bay Rays -159 / Boston Red Sox +149 --- Over/Under: 7.5 See the Latest Odds

TV: NESN, Sun Sports

The Boston Red Sox and Tampa Bay Rays will wrap up their four-game series Monday afternoon.

The Boston Red Sox have won four of their last six games and are 16 games below a .500 record. The Red Sox pitching staff continues to struggle, allowing four or more runs in seven of their last nine games. Overall, the Boston Red Sox have an ERA of 3.98, which is 22nd in the majors, and they’ve lost nine of their last 11 games when allowing more than three runs. Offensively, David Ortiz has hit safely in eight of his last 10 games and Jackie Bradley Jr. has hit in four of his last five games. Rubby De La Rosa gets the ball, and he’s 4-5 with a 3.81 ERA and has 58 strikeouts in 82.2 innings. De La Rosa is 1-1 with a 1.23 ERA in two career games against the Rays.

Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Sox MLB Pick, Odds, Prediction - 9/1/14

USA TODAY Sports

The Tampa Bay Rays have lost five of their last seven games and are five games below .500. The Rays offense has struggled, scoring three or fewer runs in five of their last eight games. The Rays have lost six of their last nine games when scoring three or less runs. Evan Longoria has hit in seven of his last 10 games and Yunel Escobar has hit in six of his last nine games. The Tampa Bay Rays have an ERA of 3.47, which is eighth in the majors. Starting is Drew Smyly, who is 9-10 with a 3.31 ERA and has 118 strikeouts in 141.1 innings. Smyly is 2-0 with a 2.70 ERA in four career games against the Red Sox.

The Red Sox are 2-5 in De La Rosas last 7 road starts and 3-7 in De La Rosas last 10 starts as an underdog. The Rays are 4-1 in their last 5 during game 4 of a series and 1-5 in their last 6 home games vs. a right-handed starter.

I don't trust the Rays whatsoever, especially with the high juice. This is a game you'd probably you'd like to avoid, but I like the Red Sox with the value. 

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Boston Red Sox +149

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