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Atlanta Braves vs. Philadelphia Phillies MLB Pick, Odds, Prediction - 9/3/14

Philadelphia Phillies (64-74) at Atlanta Braves (72-67)

MLB Baseball: Wednesday, September 3, 2014 at 12:10 pm (Turner Field)

David Buchanan (R) (6-7) (4.030) vs. Ervin Santana (R) (13-7) (3.529)

The Line: Atlanta Braves -173 / Philadelphia Phillies +163 --- Over/Under: 7.5 See the Latest Odds

TV: CSN-PHI, SPSO

The Philadelphia Phillies look to sweep the Atlanta Braves on Wednesday afternoon.

The Philadelphia Phillies have won seven of their last nine games and have pulled within 10 games of a .500 record. The Phillies pitching has been outstanding during this stretch, allowing three or less runs in six of their last nine games. Overall, the Philadelphia Phillies have an ERA of 3.87, which is 21st in the majors, and they’ve won nine straight when allowing three or fewer runs. Offensively, Ryan Howard has 10 RBIs in his last 10 games and Domonic Brown has 11 hits in his last 10 games. David Buchanan takes the mound, and he’s 6-7 with a 4.03 ERA and has 56 strikeouts in 89.1 innings. This is Buchanan’s second career game against the Braves.

Atlanta Braves vs. Philadelphia Phillies MLB Pick, Odds, Prediction - 9/3/14

USA TODAY Sports

The Atlanta Braves have lost six of their last 10 games and are five games above .500. The Braves offense has been a constant issue, scoring three or less runs in nine of their last 11 games. The Braves have lost seven of their last 10 games when scoring three or less runs. Freddie Freeman has gotten on base in 10 straight games and Jason Heyward has hit safely in seven of his last 10 games. The Atlanta Braves have an ERA of 3.26, which is fourth in the majors. Starting is Ervin Santana, who is 13-7 with a 3.53 ERA and has 155 strikeouts in 168.1 innings. Santana is 3-1 with a 2.56 ERA in five career starts against the Phillies.

The Phillies are 2-5 in Buchanans last 7 road starts and 0-4 in Buchanans last 4 starts overall. The Braves are 7-0 in Santanas last 7 home starts and 4-1 in Santanas last 5 starts overall.

The Phillies have beaten the Braves up the last two games, why fade them when they're getting so much value on the line? The Braves can't win without scoring runs, and they've been held scoreless the last two games.

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Philadelphia Phillies +163

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