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Baltimore Orioles vs. Cincinnati Reds MLB Pick, Odds, Prediction 9/4/14

Cincinnati Reds (66-73) at Baltimore Orioles (81-57)

MLB Baseball: Thursday, September 4, 2014 at 7:05 pm (Camden Yards)

Mike Leake (R) (10-11) (3.429) vs. Chris Tillman (R) (11-5) (3.260)

The Line: Baltimore Orioles -150 / Cincinnati Reds +140 --- Over/Under: 8 See the Latest Odds

TV: FSOH, MASN

The Baltimore Orioles look to complete a three game sweep of the Cincinnati Reds in Thursday’s series finale from Camden Yards.

The Cincinnati Reds lost for the second straight night in Baltimore on Wednesday, getting shut out 6-0.   Reds starter Dylan Axelrod allowed four runs on five hits over six innings to take the loss and the offense could only muster four total hits on the night.  The top of the lineup struggled as Billy Hamilton, Todd Frazier, Brandon Phillips and Devin Mesoraco each went hitless on the night in what’s been a familiar story for the Reds given their 28th ranked scoring offense.

Baltimore Orioles vs. Cincinnati Reds MLB Pick, Odds, Prediction 9/4/14

USA TODAY Sports

Mike Leake takes the mound for the visitors on Thursday as the Reds try to avoid being swept.  Leake has been effective this year as he enters this contest with a WHIP of 1.22 and ERA of 3.33 while owning a record of 10-11.  The 26 year old righty Leake owns a road ERA of 3.33 across 15 starts and has struggled against two AL opponents in the Yankees and Red Sox while pitching a gem against the Blue Jays.

The Baltimore Orioles have the biggest division lead in baseball in the AL East which means they’re playing for seeding at this point unless a meltdown coupled with a run from the Yankees or Blue Jays were to transpire in September.  In last night’s rout of the Reds, Miguel Gonzalez was dominant pitching a four hit complete game shutout while striking out eight batters.   The Orioles slugged their way to seven hits as Jonathan Schoop doubled and homered to drive in three runs, David Lough hit a solo shot, Chris Davis hit a two run homer, and Adam Jones had two hits in the win. 

Chris Tillman makes the start for the home team on Thursday looking to dodge taking a loss for the tenth consecutive start.  Tillman has allowed three earned runs or less in each of his last ten starts as his ERA continues to trend downward.  The 26 year old right-hander Tillman enters this game with a  WHIP of 1.22 and ERA of 3.36 to complement an 11-5 record.  Tillman has been his best at home with a 2.50 ERA across 15 starts.

The Orioles are tough to go against at home and quite honestly I was expecting the line to be higher and play the Reds.  Since this has been bet down a bit since opening, my pick is on the home side.  

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Baltimore Orioles -150 (1 unit)

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