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New York Yankees vs. Boston Red Sox MLB Pick, Odds, Prediction - 9/4/14

Boston Red Sox (61-78) at New York Yankees (71-66)

MLB Baseball: Thursday, September 4, 2014 at 7:05 pm (Yankee Stadium)

Brandon Workman (R) (1-7) (5.131) vs. Chris Capuano (L) (1-2) (4.008)

The Line: New York Yankees -149 / Boston Red Sox +139 --- Over/Under: 9 See the Latest Odds

TV: MLB Network, NESN, YES

The Boston Red Sox and New York Yankees play a rubber game on Thursday night.

The Boston Red Sox have split their last 10 games and are 17 games below a .500 record. The Red Sox pitching staff has fallen off a bit, allowing four or more runs in 10 of their last 12 games. Overall, the Boston Red Sox have an ERA of 3.95, which is 22nd in the majors, and they’ve lost 11 of their last 14 games when allowing more than three runs. Offensively, Mike Napoli has nine RBIs in his last 10 games and Brock Holt has hit safely in seven of his last 10 games. Brandon Workman takes the mound, and he’s 1-8 with a 4.93 ERA and has 56 strikeouts in 73 innings. Workman is 2-2 with a 5.23 ERA in five career games against the Yankees.

New York Yankees vs. Boston Red Sox MLB Pick, Odds, Prediction - 9/4/14

USA TODAY Sports

The New York Yankees have lost five of their last eight games and are five games above .500. The Yankees have scored nine runs in this series and four or more runs in seven of their last 10 games. The Yanks have won seven of their last eight games when scoring more than three runs. Jacoby Ellsbury has hit safely in eight of his last nine games and Derek Jeter has hit in seven of his last nine games. The New York Yankees have an ERA of 3.85, which is 20th in the majors. Starting is Chris Capuano, who is 2-3 with a 4.24 ERA and has 70 strikeouts in 74.1 innings. Capuano is 0-2 with a 4.76 ERA in two career starts against the Red Sox.

The Red Sox are 1-5 in Workmans last 6 road starts and 0-8 in Workmans last 8 starts overall. The Yankees are 7-16 in their last 23 vs. American League East and 3-9 in their last 12 games vs. a right-handed starter. 

The Red Sox can't buy a win when Workman is on the mound, and the Yanks need to keep winning for the sake of the playoffs. I like the Yankees here. 

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New York Yankees -149

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