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New York Mets vs. Washington Nationals MLB Pick, Odds, Prediction - 9/11/14

Washington Nationals (82-62) at New York Mets (71-75)

MLB Baseball: Thursday, September 11, 2014 at 7:10 pm (Citi Field)

Tanner Roark (R) (11-10) (3.035) vs. Bartolo Colon (R) (13-11) (3.957)

The Line: New York Mets +113 / Washington Nationals -123 --- Over/Under: 7 See the Latest Odds

TV: MASN, SNY

The Washington Nationals and New York Mets will begin a four-game series Thursday at Citi Field.

The Washington Nationals have split their last 10 games and are 20 games above a .500 record. The Nationals pitching staff hasn’t been so hot lately, allowing four or more runs in seven of their last 10 games. Overall, the Washington Nationals have an ERA of 3.10, which is second in the majors, and they’ve lost six of their last nine games when allowing more than three runs. Offensively, Adam LaRoche has six hits in his last four games and Denard Span has a hit in eight of his last nine games. Tanner Roark takes the mound, and he’s 12-10 with a 2.97 ERA and has 132 strikeouts in 179 innings. Roark is 3-0 with a 3.10 ERA in four career games against the Mets.

New York Mets vs. Washington Nationals MLB Pick, Odds, Prediction - 9/11/14

USA TODAY Sports

The New York Mets have won seven of their last eight games and are four games away from being a .500 team. The Mets pitching staff has allowed three or less runs in five straight games, and they’ve won six of their last seven games when allowing three or fewer runs. Overall, the New York Mets have an ERA of 3.54, which is 11th in the majors, and they haven’t allowed a single run in two straight games. Offensively, Lucas Duda has a hit in seven of his last 10 games and Daniel Murphy has a seven-game hitting streak. Starting is Bartolo Colon, who is 13-11 with a 3.96 ERA and has 134 strikeouts in 179.2 innings. Colon is 2-3 with a 2.13 ERA in five career starts against the Nationals.

The Nationals are 4-1 in Roarks last 5 starts as a road favorite and 7-3 in Roarks last 10 starts as a favorite overall. The Mets are 7-0 in Colons last 7 starts during game 1 of a series and 10-4 in Colons last 14 starts as an underdog. The Nationals are 25-4 in the last 29 meetings in New York.

Colon has been money as an underdog and the Mets are the hottest team in baseball right now. Taking the Mets at plus money in this spot may be the biggest value on the board today. 

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New York Mets +113

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