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Kansas City Royals vs. Boston Red Sox MLB Pick, Odds, Prediction - 9/12/14

Boston Red Sox (64-83) at Kansas City Royals (80-65)

MLB Baseball: Friday, September 12, 2014 at 8:10 pm (Kauffman Stadium)

Allen Webster (R) (3-3) (6.472) vs. Yordano Ventura (R) (11-9) (3.282)

The Line: Kansas City Royals -172 / Boston Red Sox +162 --- Over/Under: 7.5 See the Latest Odds

TV: NESN, FSN-KC

The Boston Red Sox and Kansas City Royals play game two of their four-game series Friday at Kauffman Stadium.

The Boston Red Sox have lost six of their last 10 games and are 19 games below a 5.00 record. Pitching has been the Red Sox biggest issue this month, allowing four or more runs in eight of their last 11 games. Overall, the Boston Red Sox have an ERA of 4.01, which is 23rd in the majors, and they’ve lost seven of their last nine games when allowing more than three runs. Offensively, David Ortiz has a hit in four of his last five games and Xander Bogaerts has a five-game hitting streak. Allen Webster gets the ball, and he’s 3-3 with a 6.47 ERA and has 26 strikeouts in 40.1 innings. This will be Webster’s second career game against the Royals.

Kansas City Royals vs. Boston Red Sox MLB Pick, Odds, Prediction - 9/12/14

USA TODAY Sports

The Kansas City Royals are 6-4 in the month of September and 15 games above a .500 record. Despite allowing six runs in Thursday’s loss, the Royals have allowed three or less runs in seven of their last 11 games. Overall, the Kansas City Royals have an ERA of 3.50, which is eighth in the majors, and they’ve won six straight when allowing three or less runs. Offensively, Omar Infante has a hit in seven of his last 10 games and Eric Hosmer has also hit in seven of his last 10 games. Starting is Yordano Ventura, who is 12-9 with a 3.25 ERA and has 134 strikeouts in 158 innings. This will be Ventura’s second career game against the Red Sox.

The Red Sox are 5-15 in their last 20 during game 2 of a series and 2-6 in Websters last 8 starts vs. a team with a winning record. The Royals are 4-0 in Venturas last 4 home starts and 7-1 in Venturas last 8 starts overall.

There's no value in taking the Royals in this matchup, which is why I'm siding with the over. Both pitchers have been shaky for much of the season and both teams have an offense that is capable of producing big time runs. This total seems a tad too low in this spot. 

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Over 7.5

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