Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets MLB Pick, Odds, Prediction - 9/19/14
New York Mets (73-80) at Atlanta Braves (76-76)
MLB Baseball: Friday, September 19, 2014 at 7:35 pm (Turner Field)
Zack Wheeler (R) (10-10) (3.510) vs. Julio Teheran (R) (13-12) (2.885)
The Line: Atlanta Braves -150 / New York Mets +140 --- Over/Under: 6.5 See the Latest Odds
TV: SNY, FSN-S
The New York Mets and Atlanta Braves begin a three-game series Friday night at Turner Field.
The New York Mets have lost five of their last seven games and are seven games below a .500 record. Even with the struggles, the Mets pitching staff has allowed three or less runs in eight of their last 12 games. Overall, the New York Mets have an ERA of 3.56, which is 14th in the majors, and they’ve won eight of their last 10 games when allowing three or less runs. Offensively, Curtis Granderson has an RBI in three straight games and Daniel Murphy has hit safely in seven of his last 10 games. Zack Wheeler takes the hill, and he’s 10-10 with a 3.61 ERA and 173 strikeouts in 174.1 innings. Wheeler is 3-2 with a 3.35 ERA in seven career starts against the Braves.
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The Atlanta Braves have lost eight of their last 10 games and removed all hope of clinching a playoff spot. The Braves simply can’t score, as they’ve been held to three or less runs in 13 of their last 17 games. The Braves have lost 10 of their last 11 games when scoring three or less runs. Freddie Freeman has hit safely in nine of his last 10 games and B.J. Upton has a hit in four of his last five games. The Atlanta Braves have an ERA of 3.33, which is fifth in the majors. Starting is Julio Teheran, who is 13-12 with a 2.89 ERA and has 174 strikeouts in 209 innings. Teheran is 3-1 with a 3.38 ERA in seven career games against the Mets.
The Mets are 0-4 in Wheelers last 4 starts vs. National League East and 6-2 in their last 8 games following an off day. The Braves are 1-4 in Teherans last 5 starts vs. National League East and 1-4 in their last 5 games following an off day. The Mets are 1-4 in the last 5 meetings in Atlanta.
If the Braves have any pride, they'll dig deep here and get the win at home. The Braves are a better team than what they've shown over the last month or so, while the Mets are pretty much what they've been all season. I don't love the juice, but the Braves have to be the pick in this spot coming off an off day.