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Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets MLB Pick, Odds, Prediction - 9/21/14

New York Mets (75-80) at Atlanta Braves (76-78)

MLB Baseball: Sunday, September 21, 2014 at 1:35 pm (Turner Field)

Jacob deGrom (R) (8-6) (2.747) vs. Ervin Santana (R) (14-9) (3.739)

The Line: Atlanta Braves -118 / New York Mets +108 --- Over/Under: 7 See the Latest Odds

TV: SNY, FSN-S

The New York Mets look to sweep the Atlanta Braves Sunday afternoon.

The New York Mets have split their last 10 games and are five games below a .500 record. The Mets pitching staff has been solid during this stretch, allowing three or less runs in 10 of their last 14 games. Overall, the New York Mets have an ERA of 3.53, which is 12th in the majors, and they’ve won three straight when allowing three or less runs. Offensively, Lucas Dada has five RBIs in his last three games and Daniel Murphy has hit in four of his last five games. Starting is Jacob deGrom, who is 8-6 with a 2.68 ERA and has 134 strikeouts in 134.1 innings. deGrom is 1-1 with a 2.25 ERA in two career starts against the Braves.

Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets MLB Pick, Odds, Prediction - 9/21/14

USA TODAY Sports

The Atlanta Braves have lost seven of their last eight games and are two games below a .500 record. The issue for the Braves has been a lack of offense, as they’ve scored three or less runs in eight straight games and have lost nine of their last 10 games when that’s the case. Freddie Freeman has a hit in eight of his last 10 games and Andrelton Simmons has four hits in this series. The Atlanta Braves have an ERA of 3.34, which is fifth in the majors. Ervin Santana gets the ball, and he’s 14-9 with a 3.74 ERA and has 170 strikeouts in 185.1 innings. Santana is 3-1 with a 1.93 ERA in four career starts against the Mets.

The Mets are 4-1 in deGroms last 5 starts with 5 days of rest and 8-3 in deGroms last 11 starts overall. The Braves are 7-0 in Santanas last 7 starts as a home favorite and 8-1 in Santanas last 9 home starts overall. 

I don't trust the Braves as far as I can throw them, but I find it hard to bet against Santana. The Braves pitcher has been money at home all season. 

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Atlanta Braves -118

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