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Miami Marlins vs. Philadelphia Phillies MLB Pick, Odds, Prediction - 9/23/14

Philadelphia Phillies (71-85) at Miami Marlins (74-81)

MLB Baseball: Tuesday, September 23, 2014 at 7:10 pm (Marlins Park)

Cole Hamels (L) (9-7) (2.467) vs. Henderson Alvarez (R) (11-6) (2.820)

The Line: Miami Marlins +108 / Philadelphia Phillies -118 --- Over/Under: 6.5 See the Latest Odds

TV: CSN-PHI, FSN-FL

The Philadelphia Phillies and Miami Marlins begin a three-game series Tuesday night at Marlins Park.

The Philadelphia Phillies have lost six of their last eight games and have dropped to 14 games below a .500 record. The Phillies lack of offense has hurt them during this stretch, as they’ve scored three or less runs in eight of their last 12 games. The Phillies have lost six of their last nine games when scoring three or less runs. Marlon Byrd has four RBIs in his last two games and Chase Utley has hit in six of his last 10 games. The Philadelphia Phillies have an ERA of 3.82, which is 20th in the majors. Cole Hamels takes the mound, and he’s 9-7 with a 2.47 ERA and has 187 strikeouts in 189.2 innings. Hamels is 9-13 with a 3.19 ERA in 33 career starts against the Marlins.

Miami Marlins vs. Philadelphia Phillies MLB Pick, Odds, Prediction - 9/23/14

USA TODAY Sports

The Miami Marlins have lost four straight and have dropped seven games below .500. The Marlins continue to have issues scoring without Giancarlo Stanton, producing three or less runs in nine of their last 12 games. The Marlins have lost 15 straight when scoring three or less runs. Marcell Ozuna has hit in eight of his last 10 games and Christian Yelich has a hit in seven of his last nine games. The Miami Marlins have an ERA of 3.81, which is 19th in the majors. Starting is Henderson Alvarez, who is 11-6 with a 2.82 ERA and has 106 strikeouts in 172.1 innings. Alvarez is 1-1 with a 1.99 ERA in six career starts against the Phillies.

The Phillies are 4-1 in their last 5 games following an off day and 6-1 in Hamels' last 7 starts overall. The Marlins are 4-1 in their last 5 games following an off day and 11-1 in Alvarezs last 12 home starts. The Phillies are 1-4 in the last 5 meetings in Miami.

Alvarez has been money all season when taking the mound at home. I know the fish can't score runs without Stanton in the lineup, but ignoring the plus money with Alvarez on the hill would be a mistake, especially considering Hamels hasn't been great in his career against Miami. 

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Miami Marlins +108

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