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Washington Nationals vs. Miami Marlins MLB Pick, Odds, Prediction - 9/28/14

Miami Marlins (77-84) at Washington Nationals (95-66)

MLB Baseball: Sunday, September 28, 2014 at 1:35 pm (Nationals Park)

Henderson Alvarez (R) (12-6) (2.700) vs. Jordan Zimmermann (R) (13-5) (2.785)

The Line: Washington Nationals -182 / Miami Marlins +172 --- Over/Under: 7 See the Latest Odds

TV: FSN-FL, MASN

The Miami Marlins will close out their season with a Sunday afternoon matchup against the Washington Nationals at Nationals Park.

The Miami Marlins have split their last six games and will end up with a losing record for the fifth straight season. The Marlins struggles lately have been on the offensive side, as they’ve been held to three or less runs in eight of their last 10 games. The Marlins have lost 12 of their last 13 games when scoring three or less runs. Christian Yelich has a hit in seven of his last 10 games and Casey McGehee has three hits in this series. The Miami Marlins have an ERA of 3.79, which is 19th in the majors. Henderson Alvarez gets the ball, and he’s 12-6 with a 2.70 ERA and has 108 strikeouts in 180 innings. Alvarez is 1-3 with a 2.61 ERA in seven career starts against the Nationals.

Washington Nationals vs. Miami Marlins MLB Pick, Odds, Prediction - 9/28/14

USA TODAY Sports

The Washington Nationals have won eight of their last 10 games and are preparing for a deep playoff run. The Nationals pitching staff has been on a roll, allowing three or less runs in 13 of their last 15 games. Overall, the Washington Nationals have an ERA of 3.07, which is the best in baseball, and they’ve won eight straight when allowing three or less runs. Offensively, Ian Desmond has a hit in eight of his last 10 games and Anthony Rendon has a five-game hitting streak. Starting is Jordan Zimmermann, who is 13-5 with a 2.78 ERA and has 172 strikeouts in 190.2 innings. Zimmermann is 6-3 with a 3.68 ERA in 16 career starts against the Marlins.

The Marlins are 8-3 in Alvarezs last 11 road starts and 20-6 in Alvarezs last 26 starts overall. The Nationals are 40-17 in Zimmermanns last 57 home starts and 49-20 in Zimmermanns last 69 starts overall. The Nationals are 8-2 in Zimmermanns last 10 starts vs. Marlins.

Can't turn down these odds with Alvarez on the mound no matter how bad the Marlins have been offensively. Besides, the Nats may rest some guys in this meaningless game. 

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Miami Marlins +172

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