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Detroit Tigers at Baltimore Orioles - 10/3/14 2014 ALDS Free Pick, Odds, Prediction

Detroit Tigers (90-72) at Baltimore Orioles (96-66)

MLB Baseball: Friday, October 3, 2014 at 12:07 pm (Camden Yards)

Justin Verlander (R) (15-12) (4.543) vs. Wei-Yin Chen (L) (16-6) (3.539)

The Line: Baltimore Orioles +111 / Detroit Tigers -120 --- Over/Under: See the Latest Odds


The Detroit Tigers and Baltimore Orioles will play game 2 of the ALDS Friday afternoon.

The Detroit Tigers got smoked in the opening game on Thursday losing, 12-3. The Tigers struck out 10 times, had two errors and that horrible bullpen allowed nine runs in the final two innings. The Tigers have now allowed double-digit runs in three of their last four games and have an ERA of 4.01, which continues to put a ton of pressure on the batting order to produce a truckload of runs each game. I said in the series prediction article that the Tigers would have to put runs on the board to win this series and if game 1 was any indication of things to come, it looks like my prediction will hold true. Sure, it’s only one game, but the Detroit Tigers have been doing this pretty much all season, allowing runs left and right in boatloads. Taking the hill Friday for Detroit is Justin Verlander, who is 15-12 with a 4.54 ERA and has 159 strikeouts in 206 innings. In the postseason, Verlander is 7-5 with a 3.28 ERA and has 108 strikeouts in 93.1 innings.

Detroit Tigers at Baltimore Orioles - 10/3/14 2014 ALDS Free Pick, Odds, Prediction


While the Baltimore Orioles offense is going to get much of the credit, it’s their pitching staff that has allowed three or less runs in 11 of their last 18 games. The Orioles have an ERA of 3.43 and have one of the best bullpens in baseball that continues to produce at a high level. Offensively, the Orioles stuck out only six times and produced 12 hits, which includes an eight-run eighth inning that really showed what they’re capable of when they’re clicking on all cylinders. Nick Markakis has hit in seven of his last nine games and continues to be a spark at the top of the order. Taking the mound Friday for Baltimore is Wei-Yin Chen, who is 16-6 with a 3.54 ERA and has 136 strikeouts in 185.2 innings. In the postseason, Chen is 1-0 with a 1.42 ERA and has three strikeouts in 6.1 innings.

The Tigers are 1-5 in Verlanders last 6 starts vs. American League East and 4-0 in Verlanders last 4 starts overall. The Orioles are 4-0 in Chens last 4 starts as a home favorite and 19-7 in Chens last 26 home starts overall. The Tigers are 8-0 in Verlanders last 8 road starts vs. Orioles.

I said before this series started that the Baltimore Orioles were the best team in baseball, and I think game 1 was just a peek of what's to come. The Tigers pitching staff is a mess and the city of Baltimore is creating an electric atmosphere that only helps the players. Look for the Orioles to put a clamp on this series Friday.

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Baltimore Orioles -103

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