Nationals at Giants 10/6/14 Free NLDS Game 3 Pick, Odds, and Prediction
San Francisco Giants (88-74) vs. Washington Nationals (96-66)
MLB Baseball: Monday, October 6, 2014 at 5:07 pm (AT&T Park)
Doug Fister (R) (16-6) (2.415) vs. Madison Bumgarner (L) (19-10) (2.863)
The Line: San Francisco Giants -140 / Washington Nationals +130 --- Over/Under: 6 See the Latest Odds
TV: MLB Network
The Washington nationals and the San Francisco Giants face off in game 3 of their NLDS on Monday as the series moves to San Francisco.
The Washington Nationals finished with the best record in the NL this season but that is all out the window at this point as they lost the first two games of the series at home and now head out to San Francisco to hold off the Giants who have been there before and who know how to win. It’s tough to say the Nationals don’t have the guts, the talent, or what it takes to win because obviously they do, it is just a mater of if they have what it takes to win in the post season which in 2014 has once again proven to be just an entirely different animal than the regular season. With Zimmerman and Strasburg already used the Nats send Doug Fister to the mound and Fister does have big game and post season experience from his time in Detroit but while Fister racks up big numbers in he wins and losses, his strikeout totals just aren’t there. Fister does keep the score down so even with the entire Washington pitching staff at the ready, I wouldn’t expect Fister getting the hook early as the Nationals bats need to come to life as they are batting .160 for the series. Anthony Rendon is on an outright tear going 5 for 11 thus far and Bryce Harper’s home run was a monster blast but he’s gone just 2 for 11 this series. Jayson Werth is just 1 for 10, as is Adam LaRoche and Ian Desmond and the table setter, Denard Span, is a dreadful 0 for 11 thus far. The Nationals will need to dig deep here and leave it all out on the field.
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The San Francisco Giants looked like runaway winner in the NL West this season but they had a mid-season slump and it all got away. What the Giants knew all along and what most had in the back of their head, was that all the Giants have proved to need in the past is a foot in the door. Just two years back they were a huge underdog to the Cardinals and came back for a big series win that landed them in the World Series and netted them a ring, two years earlier, they were champs as well. Very little has changed from the San Francisco lineup that won the World Series two years ago so this is a team who knows how to win in the post season. For Monday’s game the Giants send Madison Bumgarner to the mound who was dazzling in the Giants Wildcard win over the Pirates and who has been their best pitcher all season long. The Giants are hitting .237 for the series but they are putting the ball in play and putting the hits together and that has been the difference. Buster Posey is hitting .400 with 6 hits, Brandon Belt has five hits and five RBI’s, Joe Panik has five hits, and Hunter Pence, Pablo Sandoval, and Brandon Crawford all have four hits as the Giants are getting production from everywhere in the lineup. At this point the rest of the National League has to be wondering how they let the Giants get in the door to the post season.
Washington is 4-0 in their last four road games, 22-8 following a loss, 36-17 in their last 53 games, and 6-2 in Fister’s last eight road starts. San Francisco is 16-5 in their last 21 home games, 24-8 as a favorite, 35-17 in their last 52 post season games, and 7-1 in Bumgarner’s last eight starts. Washington has won four of their last five games in San Francisco.
The total in this one is set at six and that is really low and with the pressure from the betting public clearly on the under, I will take a stab at the over in what is just a lean. My stronger pick is on the winning team and I will post that in the Premium Area as well as on the App.
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