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Kansas City Royals at Baltimore Orioles - 10/10/14 2014 ALCS Pick, Odds, Prediction

Kansas City Royals (89-73) at Baltimore Orioles (96-66)

MLB Baseball: Friday, October 10, 2014 at 8:07 pm (Camden Yards)

James Shields (R) (15-8) (3.290) vs. Pitcher TBA () (0-0) (0.00)

The Line: Baltimore Orioles / Kansas City Royals --- Over/Under: See the Latest Odds

TV: TBS

The Kansas City Royals and Baltimore Orioles will play game one of the ALCS Friday night.

Royals - Orioles Series Prediction

Kansas City Royals at Baltimore Orioles - 10/10/14 2014 ALCS Pick, Odds, Prediction

USA TODAY Sports

The Kansas City Royals are coming off of a sweep of the Los Angeles Angels and are getting terrific production out of their pitching staff. The Royals pitching staff allowed just six runs in the ALDS and have allowed three or less runs in nine of their last 13 games overall. In the postseason, the Royals have an ERA of 2.93 and have struck out 40 batters in 43 innings. The Royals have won eight straight when allowing three or less runs. Offensively, Eric Hosmer has a batting average of .400 and had four RBIs in the ALDS, while Mike Moustakas had two homers in the sweep of the Angels. The Royals have stole 12 bases in the postseason and Terrance Gore has a stolen base in all three games he’s played. Taking the mound for Kansas City is James Shields, who is 14-8 with a 3.21 ERA and has 180 strikeouts in 227 innings. In this year’s postseason, Shields is 1-0 with a 4.91 ERA and has 12 strikeouts in 11 innings.

The Baltimore Orioles are coming off of a sweep over the Detroit Tigers and have been getting the job done with their bat. The Orioles scored a combined 21 runs in the series and have produced four or more runs in nine of their last 16 games. The O’s have won 16 of their last 17 games when scoring more than three runs. Nelson Cruz had two homers in the series and is batting .500, while Alejandro De Aza had three hits in just eight at bats. Pitching wise, the Baltimore Orioles finished the ALDS with an ERA of 3.33 and had 26 strikeouts in 27 innings. The Orioles have allowed three or less runs in three of their last four games. Taking the hill for Baltimore will be Chris Tillman, who is 13-6 with a 3.34 ERA and has 150 strikeouts in 207.1 innings. In this year's postseason, Tillman is 1-0 with a 3.60 ERA and has six strikeouts in five innings. 

The Royals are 6-1 in their last 7 games following an off day, 23-9 in their last 32 road games and 41-18 in Shields' last 59 starts overall. The Orioles are 10-1 in their last 11 vs. American League Central, 21-8 in their last 29 games following a win and 37-15 in their last 52 home games. The Royals are 7-3 in the last 10 meetings. 

While I picked the Royals to win this series, I trust Tillman a little more than Shields in this spot. Give me the Orioles to win this game for the cheap price. 

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