Kansas City Royals at Baltimore Orioles - 10/11/14 2014 ALCS Pick, Odds, Prediction
Kansas City Royals (89-73) at Baltimore Orioles (96-66)
MLB Baseball: Saturday
Yordano Ventura (R) (13-10) (3.154) vs. Wei-Yin Chen (L) (16-6) (3.708)
The Line: Baltimore Orioles / Kansas City Royals --- Over/Under: See the Latest Odds
The Kansas City Royals and Baltimore Orioles will play game two of the ALCS Saturday afternoon.
The Kansas City Royals nearly blew a 4-0 lead in game one but came back to win in extra innings and have yet to lose a playoff game this postseason. Ironically, the Royals had the fewest homers in all of baseball in the regular season but have hit six in their last three games. Alex Gordon has six hits in his last four games and Alcides Escobar has hit safely in four of the five playoff games. The Royals have scored a combined 20 runs in their last three games and have won nine of their last 11 games overall when scoring more than three runs. Pitching wise, the Royals struck out the Orioles 10 times and it was the first time they allowed more than three runs since the wild card game. Taking the mound for the Kansas City Royals is Yordano Ventura, who is 14-10 with a 3.20 ERA and has 159 strikeouts in 183 innings. In this year’s postseason, Ventura is 0-0 with a 3.68 ERA and has five strikeouts in 7.1 innings.
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The Baltimore Orioles made a big comeback but their bullpen blew the game in the 10th inning by allowing two home runs. It was the O’s first loss of the postseason and first time they’ve lost a game when scoring four or more runs since September 25th. The Orioles have still won 16 of their last 18 games when scoring more than three runs. Nelson Cruz has two hits in all four playoff games and Nick Markakis has six hits and four runs in this postseason. The Orioles have scored six or more runs in three of their four games and have to feel good about their chances if it keeps up. Pitching wise, the Baltimore Orioles struck out nine batters in the first game and allowed eight or more runs for the first time since August 31st. Wei-Yin Chen gets the ball for Baltimore, and he's 16-6 with a 3.54 ERA and has 136 strikeouts in 185.2 innings. In this year's postseason, Chen is 0-0 with a 12.27 ERA and has three strikouts in 3.2 innings.
The Royals are 24-9 in their last 33 road games, 4-8 in their last 12 vs. American League East and 16-5 in Venturas last 21 starts overall. The Orioles are 10-2 in their last 12 vs. American League Central, 37-16 in their last 53 home games and 57-28 in their last 85 overall. The Royals are 8-3 in the last 11 meetings.
While the odds aren't out for this game just yet, I'm going to try my luck with the Royals assuming they're the underdogs here. I picked the Royals to win the series but picked them to lose game 1 and got burned. Not again. The Royals seem to thrive under this role, have owned the Orioles this season and seem to have this won't be denied mentality.