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2014 ALCS Game 3 Royals vs. Orioles 10/13/14

Baltimore Orioles (96-66) at Kansas City Royals (89-73)

MLB Baseball: Monday

Wei-Yin Chen (L) (16-6) (3.708) vs. Jeremy Guthrie (R) (13-11) (4.085)

The Line: Kansas City Royals -110 / Baltimore Orioles +102 --- Over/Under: 7.5 See the Latest Odds


The Kansas City Royals and Baltimore Orioles play game three of the ALCS as the series shifts to Kauffman Stadium in Kansas City on Monday night at 8:07pm ET.

The Baltimore Orioles have yet to hold the lead in the ALCS, twice rallying from deficits to tie the game only to falter in the late innings with less-than-stellar performances out of their bullpen.  Of course the Orioles haven’t gotten ample production out of their starting rotation either with Chris Tillman and Bud Norris each getting roughed up in short outings in games one and two.   The Orioles may have reason for optimism at the plate looking forward though as Adam Jones broke out of his slump in game two with a two run home run and Nelson Cruz isn’t showing any signs of letting up.  The Orioles are batting .275 as a team in the postseason and were a top 10 offense during the regular season.

2014 ALCS Game 3 Royals vs. Orioles 10/13/14


The Orioles will hope to get some help from the starting staff on Monday night as Wei-Yin Chen makes his second postseason start.  The lefty Chen struggled mightily against the Tigers conceding five runs on seven hits including two home runs over just 3.1 innings.  For the season Chen had a WHIP of 1.23 and ERA of 3.54 while posting a record of 16-6; Chen had an ERA of 3.33 over 16 road starts while allowing 12 home runs.  In two starts against the Royals this year, Chen had little trouble posting an ERA of 2.19 over 12.1 innings, striking out 10 batters.  Billy Butler and Eric Hosmer have great career numbers vs. Chen, with Butler batting .444 with two doubles, a triple, two home runs and four RBIs over 18 at bats and Hosmer batting .412 with a double, two home runs and five RBIs over 17 at bats.

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The Kansas City Royals lack household names from the casual fan’s perspective but their formula of solid defense, speed in the running game, crafty bullpen arms and timely hitting has yielded big results thus far in the postseason.  The Royals weren’t a great home run hitting team in the regular season but that’s changed in a big way in October as the team has eight through six games as Mike Moustakas leads the team with four, Eric Hosmer has two, and Alex Gordon and Alcides Escobar each have one.  The Royals also have 13 stolen bases with specialist Jarrod Dyson representing a useful pinch running asset for the late innings of a close game.

The Royals will look to continue their magical undefeated run as veteran right hander Jeremy Guthrie takes the mound on Monday night.  Guthrie has yet to pitch in the playoffs and finished the regular season with a WHIP of 1.30 and ERA of 4.13 while posting a record of 13-11.  Guthrie closed the season strong with a 2.40 ERA in September but didn’t have great success at home for the year with a 6-6 record and 4.25 ERA over 16 starts.  The former Oriole Guthrie was decent in two starts against his former club with a 3.60 ERA over 15 innings of work.  The Orioles active roster is batting just .214 lifetime against Guthrie over 224 at bats with no one enjoying great success over a large sample.

Both games thus far have gone over the total and despite the quality in each team’s bullpen I see that trend continuing here as neither starting pitcher instills a ton of confidence and both offenses have shown their ability in the postseason. 

Follow Brian Fitz on Twitter for live betting tips: @_BrianFitz_ 

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Over 7.5 (5 units)

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