Orioles at Royals - 10/13/14 2014 ALCS Pick, Odds, Prediction
Baltimore Orioles (96-66) at Kansas City Royals (89-73)
MLB Baseball: Monday
Wei-Yin Chen (L) (16-6) (3.708) vs. Jeremy Guthrie (R) (13-11) (4.085)
The Line: Kansas City Royals -110 / Baltimore Orioles +102 --- Over/Under: 7.5 See the Latest Odds
The Baltimore Orioles and Kansas City Royals will play game three of the ALCS Monday night at Kauffman Stadium.
The Baltimore Orioles need to win this game in order to prevent an impossible 3-0 hole. The issue for the Orioles has been pitching, as they’ve allowed 14 runs and 25 hits in the first two games. The Orioles have lost seven of their last 10 games when allowing more than three runs. Pitching was one of the Baltimore Orioles strong points heading into this series, as they finished the ALDS with a solid 3.33 ERA and a 3.43 ERA in the regular season. Offensively, the Orioles are still putting runs up as expected, producing four or more runs in four of their five playoff games. Nelson Cruz has 10 hits and seven RBIs in the postseason, while Alejandro De Aza has four hits in this series. Taking the mound for Baltimore will be Wei-Yin Chen, who is 16-6 with a 3.54 ERA and has 136 strikeouts in 185.2 innings. In this postseason, Chen is 0-0 with a 12.27 ERA and has three strikeouts in 3.2 innings.
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The Kansas City Royals finished the regular season with the fewest home runs in baseball but have hit eight in the postseason. The Royals have won all six playoff games and have won seven of their last eight games when scoring more than three runs. It’s going to be tough for anybody to beat the Royals as long as they’re producing at this level offensively. Lorenzo Cain has six hits in this series and Mike Moustakas has now homered in three straight games. The Royals pitching staff has allowed 10 runs in this series but it hasn’t mattered much. In fact, the Royals have won four straight even when allowing more than three runs. Getting the ball for KC is Jeremy Guthrie, who is 13-11 with a 4.13 ERA and has 124 strikeouts in 202.2 innings. This will be the first time Guthrie has ever pitched in the postseason.
The Orioles are 43-21 in their last 64 games following a loss, 2-5 in Chens last 7 road starts and 11-5 in Chens last 16 starts overall. The Royals are 47-23 in their last 70 overall, 27-12 in Guthries last 39 home starts and 4-1 in Guthries last 5 starts overall. The Orioles are 2-5 in the last 7 meetings in Kansas City.
Would you pick against the Royals with the way they've been playing? Me neither. The Royals have to be the pick until they start showing they're human.