Royals at Giants - 10/25/14 World Series Pick, Odds, Prediction
Kansas City Royals (89-73) at San Francisco Giants (88-74)
MLB Baseball: Saturday, October 25, 2014 at 8:07 pm (AT&T Park)
Jason Vargas (L) (12-10) (3.766) vs. Ryan Vogelsong (R) (8-13) (3.957)
The Line: San Francisco Giants / Kansas City Royals --- Over/Under: See the Latest Odds
The Kansas City Royals and San Francisco Giants play game four of the World Series Saturday night at AT&T Park.
The Kansas City Royals continue to find ways to win at all costs and have done so with their pitching in their last two wins. The Royals have allowed two or less runs in four of their last five games and didn’t allow a run in the final three innings of game two. The Kansas City Royals have won 12 straight games when allowing three or less runs, which includes a 7-0 record in the playoffs. Offensively, the Royals have been doing just enough to get by, as Alcides Escobar has an eight-game hitting streak, Mike Moustakas has a hit in each game of this series and Eric Hosmer has gotten on base in 10 of the 11 playoff games. Taking the hill for Kansas City is Jason Vargas, who is 11-10 with a 3.71 ERA and has 128 strikeouts in 187 innings. In this postseason, Vargas is 1-0 with a 2.38 ERA and has eight strikeouts in 11.1 innings.
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The San Francisco Giants have lost back-to-back games for the first time this postseason and this matchup is all but a must win. The Giants are struggling to string run together and are certainly feeling the pressure of scoring quickly before the Royals bullpen kicks in. The Giants have lost 12 of their last 18 games when scoring three or less runs. Hunter Pence has four hits in this series, Buster Posey has hit in 10 of 13 playoff games and Pablo Sandoval has 18 hits this postseason. The San Francisco Giants will need all of those guys to contribute at a high level in order to save their season. Taking the hill for the Giants is Ryan Vogelsong, who is 8-13 with a 4.00 ERA and has 151 strikeouts in 184.2 innings. In this postseason, Vogelsong is 0-0 with a 5.19 ERA and has five strikeouts in 8.2 innings.
The Royals are 5-0 in their last 5 playoff road games, 39-18 in their last 57 road games overall and 2-5 in Vargas' last 7 road starts. The Giants are 6-1 in their last 7 World Series home games, 41-21 in their last 62 playoff games and 4-1 in Vogelsongs last 5 home starts. The Royals are 7-1 in the last 8 meetings.
While this is a must-win game for the Giants, I simply can't keep turning down the Royals at plus money. KC has been good to us all playoffs long and it'd be foolish to jump off the money train now. I'm going to keep riding the Royals until they let me down.