Reds vs. Pirates - 4/6/15 MLB Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Pittsburgh Pirates (88-75) at Cincinnati Reds (76-86)
MLB Baseball: Monday, April 6, 2015 at 4:10 pm (Great American Ball Park)
F Liriano (0-0) (0.00) vs. J Cueto (0-0) (0.00)
The Line: Cincinnati Reds -130 / Pittsburgh Pirates +120 --- Over/Under: 6.5 See the Latest Odds
TV: ROOT-Pittsburgh, FS-Ohio
The Cincinnati Reds and the Pittsburgh Pirates face off on Monday in Cincinnati for a MLB Opening Day matchup.
The Cincinnati Reds have been competitive in recent seasons but have lacked the depth to take it to the next level and it looks like we may see more of the same this year. The Reds have been to the post season several times in recent years but have little success once getting there making quick exits. Joey Votto spent most of last season injured and missed much of the year but he is hoping to regain MVP form and when he is on he is the best hitter in all of baseball. Brandon Phillips has been another key to the Reds offense and along with Votto he seems to be someone the Reds have little success without. Billy Hamilton is one of the most feared base runners, Zach Cozart and Todd Frazier have been serviceable, and Jay Bruce provides the pop. Johnny Cueto gets the nod on the hill and Cueto has had several stints on the DL but he is in a contract year and he has the best ERA of any pitcher at Great American Ballpark and it isn’t even close. Aroldis Chapman still brings a ton of heat and is the closer but he has never been able to make the transition to starter the Reds had hoped for.
USA TODAY Sports
The Pittsburgh Pirates are beyond the point of being a novelty act and they are beyond the point of close misses as they are regulars to the post season. The Pirates lost to eventual World Series Champs San Francisco in the NL Wildcard game. Andrew McCutchen is the Pirates best player and one of the best all around players in baseball. Pedro Alvarez is a solid hitter but he has never reached the huge expectations that were placed on him when he was coming up. Gregor Blanco is an emerging superstar, Neil Walker is as scrappy as they come, and Francisco Cerelli takes over behind the plate for a departed Russell Martin. Francisco Liriano has been inconsistent throughout his career with on and off years and he gets the start here and hope is this is an on year for him. Mark Melancon is the closer and he has proven to have more than enough to fill that role.
Cincinnati is 7-2 in their last nine home games, 17-35 in game one of a series, 3-13 in their last 16 Monday games, and 20-8 in Cueto’s last 28 starts. Pittsburgh is 17-7 in their last 24 games, 7-1 in game one of series, 1-4 as a road underdog, and 4-1 in Liriano’s last five starts. Pittsburgh is 2-8 in Liriano’s last 10 starts against the Reds.
With the total set at seven and these two dealing, I have to expect this one to stay under that number, especially given the closers. I also have a play on who will win and I will post that in the Premium Area as well as on the App.