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Phillies vs. Marlins - 4/23/15 MLB Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Miami Marlins (4-11) at Philadelphia Phillies (5-10)

MLB Baseball: Thursday, April 23, 2015 at 1:05 pm (Citizens Bank Park)

D Phelps (0-0) (7.94) vs. S O'Sullivan (0-1) (4.91)

The Line: Philadelphia Phillies +104 / Miami Marlins -114 --- Over/Under: 8.5 See the Latest Odds

TV: CSN-PHI

The Miami Marlins and Philadelphia Phillies play a rubber game Thursday afternoon.

The Miami Marlins need a win after losing five of their last eight games. The Marlins have allowed four more runs in five of their last six games, including 15 runs in their last three games. The Marlins have lost eight of their last nine games when allowing more than three runs. Offensively, Dee Gordon leads Miami with 24 hits and nine RBI while Giancarlo Stanton and Michael Morse have combined for 19 RBI. Three of the Miami Marlins four victories this season have come on the road. David Phelps gets the nod, and he’s 0-0 with a 7.94 ERA and three strikeouts this season. This will be Phelps’ first career game against the Phillies.

Phillies vs. Marlins - 4/23/15 MLB Pick, Odds, and Prediction

USA TODAY Sports

The Philadelphia Phillies look for a win after losing five of their last seven games. The Phillies have allowed four or more runs in six of their last eight games and 13 runs in their last three games. The Phillies have lost 10 straight when allowing more than three runs. Offensively, Cody Asche leads Philly with 16 hits and four walks while Freddy Galvis and Chase Utley have combined for 17 RBI. For of the Philadelphia Phillies five victories have come on their home field. Dustin McGowan takes the hill, and he’s 1-0 with a 2.57 ERA and three strikeouts this season. This will be McGowan’s first career game against the Marlins.

The Marlins are 1-4 in their last 5 during game 3 of a series and 8-20 in their last 28 vs. National League East. The Phillies are 1-6 in their last 7 during game 3 of a series and 2-6 in their last 8 games vs. a right-handed starter. The Marlins are 11-31 in the last 42 meetings in Philadelphia.

The Marlins have let me down all season, so I'm not real confident in backing them. However, Miami is by far the more talented team and the more desprate team. I'll take a shot for the cheap chalk. 

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Miami Marlins -114

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