Reds vs. Brewers - 7/4/15 MLB Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Milwaukee Brewers (33-48) at Cincinnati Reds (36-41)
MLB Baseball: Saturday, July 4, 2015 at 7:15 pm (Great American Ball Park)
J Nelson (5-8) (4.58) vs. Josh Smith (0-1) (5.62)
The Line: Cincinnati Reds -103 / Milwaukee Brewers -107 --- Over/Under: 8.5 See the Latest Odds
The Milwaukee Brewers and Cincinnati Reds play game two of their series Saturday night.
The Milwaukee Brewers look to stay hot and build on their six-game winning streak. The Brewers have scored 29 runs in their last three games and four or more runs in six straight games. The Brewers have won eight straight games when scoring more than three runs. Ryan Braun leads Milwaukee with 79 hits and 54 RBI while Adam Lind and Gerardo Parra have combined for 71 RBI. The Milwaukee Brewers have won six of their last eight road games. Jimmy Nelson gets the ball, and he’s 5-8 with a 4.48 ERA and 78 strikeouts this season. Nelson is 0-1 with a 5.89 ERA and 14 strikeouts in his career against the Reds.
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The Cincinnati Reds need a win after losing five of their last seven games. The Reds have scored eight runs in their last three games and three or less runs in five of their last seven games. The Reds have lost nine of their last 10 games when scoring three or less runs. Todd Frazier leads Cincinnati with 87 hits and 54 RBI while Joey Votto and Jay Bruce have combined for 79 RBI. The Cincinnati Reds have split their last six home games. Josh Smith takes the hill, and he’s 0-1 with a 5.63 ERA and six strikeouts this season. This will be Smith’s first career game against the Brewers.
The Brewers are 20-41 in their last 61 vs. a team with a losing record and 6-15 in Nelsons last 21 starts. The Reds are 0-4 in their last 4 Saturday games and 9-3 in their last 12 games as a favorite. The Brewers are 15-36 in the last 51 meetings in Cincinnati.
Even with the Brewers on a hot streak, we know it's only a matter of time before they go back to their losing ways. I can't pick against the better team in the Reds at home with the cheap chalk. If forced to cap this game, I'm siding with Cincy.