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Twins vs. Tigers - 7/11/15 MLB Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Detroit Tigers (44-41) at Minnesota Twins (46-40)

MLB Baseball: Saturday, July 11, 2015 at 4:05 pm (Target Field)

A Simon (8-5) (4.18) vs. P Hughes (7-6) (4.03)

The Line: Minnesota Twins -165 / Detroit Tigers +155 --- Over/Under: 8.5 See the Latest Odds

TV: FSN-DET, FS1

The Detroit Tigers and Minnesota Twins play game three of their series Saturday afternoon.

The Detroit Tigers look for a win after splitting their last 10 games. The Tigers have scored 15 runs in their last three games and four or more runs in nine straight games. The Tigers have won five of their last eight games when scoring more than three runs. Yoenis Cespedes leads Detroit with 101 hits and 50 RBI while J.D. Martinez and Ian Kinsler have combined for 98 RBI. The Detroit Tigers have won six of their last nine road games. Alfredo Simon gets the ball, and he’s 8-5 with a 4.18 ERA and 74 strikeouts this season. Simon is 1-0 with a 0.84 ERA and 18 strikeouts in his career against the Twins.

Twins vs. Tigers - 7/11/15 MLB Pick, Odds, and Prediction

USA TODAY Sports

The Minnesota Twins look to keep rolling after winning five of their last seven games. The Twins have scored 15 runs in their last three games and four or more runs in five of their last seven games. The Twins have won six straight games when scoring more than three runs. Brian Dozier and Joe Mauer have combined for 166 hits and 91 RBI while Trevor Plouffe has 45 RBI. The Minnesota Twins have won five of their last six home games. Phil Hughes takes the hill, and he’s 7-6 with a 4.19 ERA and 67 strikeouts this season. Hughes is 7-7 with a 4.15 ERA and 77 strikeouts in his career against the Tigers.

The Tigers are 5-2 in their last 7 games as a road underdog and 4-1 in Simons last 5 starts as an underdog. The Twins are 10-4 in their last 14 during game 3 of a series and 6-1 in Hughes' last 7 home starts. The over is 9-3-1 in the last 13 meetings in Minnesota.

After allowing seven runs in the ninth in Friday's game, I don't trust the Tigers confidence heading into this matchup on a quick turnaround. Blowing a massive lead kills a team. I like Minny to steal another ball game here. 

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Minnesota Twins -1.5

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