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Cincinnati Reds vs. Chicago Cubs - 7/20/15 MLB Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Chicago Cubs (49-41) at Cincinnati Reds (40-49)

MLB Baseball: Monday, July 20, 2015 at 7:10 pm (Great American Ball Park)

C Richard (1-0) (5.79) vs. M Lorenzen (3-4) (3.53)

The Line: Cincinnati Reds -110 / Chicago Cubs +100 --- Over/Under: 8 See the Latest Odds

TV: CSN-Chicago, FS-Ohio

The Cincinnati Reds and the Chicago Cubs face off on Monday at Great American Ballpark in game one of their MLB series of National League Central teams.

The Cincinnati Reds are drifting out of the post-season race and it appears to be just a matter of time before they become sellers as the trade deadline nears. The Reds are 4-6 in their last 10 games, 23-20 at home, and they are 16.5 games back in the NL Central. As a team the Reds are hitting .248 with Joey Votto hitting .289, Brandon Phillips hitting .279, and Todd Frazier hitting .276. The Reds pitching staff has an ERA of 4.08 with the starters at 4.04 and the bullpen at 4.18. For game one against the Cubs the Reds start Michael Lorenzen who has allowed 66 hits and 28 earned runs while striking out 47 over 71.1 innings for a 3-4 record and a 3.53 ERA.

Cincinnati Reds vs. Chicago Cubs - 7/20/15 MLB Pick, Odds, and Prediction

USA TODAY Sports

The Chicago Cubs are leading for the second Wildcard spot in the National League and they are in third place in the NL Central. The Cubs are 5-5 in their last 10 games, 24-21 on the road, and 8.0 games back in the NL Central and two games in the loss column ahead of the Giants in the NL Wildcard. As a team the Cubs are hitting .239 with Anthony Rizzo hitting .296, Kris Bryant hitting .263, and Starlin Castro hitting .244. As a team the Cubs pitching staff has an ERA of 3.28 with the starters at 3.34 and the bullpen at 3.15. For game on at Cincinnati the Cubs start Clayton Richard who has allowed 15 hits and six runs while striking out five over 9.1 innings for a 1-0 record and a 5.79 ERA.

Cincinnati is 4-1 in their last five games against a team with a winning record, 2-6 against the NL Central, and 2-5 in Lorenzen’s last seven starts. Chicago is 5-1 in their last six road games, 2-5 against the NL Central, and 0-4 in their last four game one of a series. Chicago is 6-1 in their last seven games against Cincinnati.

I don’t love this one as the Cubs are playing better baseball but Richard hasn’t been part of that and the Reds are playing for the future but I will take the Reds to win this one at home but it is a lean at best. 

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Cincinnati Reds -110

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