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Padres at Mets - 7/28/15 MLB Pick, Odds, and Prediction

San Diego Padres (47-52) at New York Mets (51-48)

MLB Baseball: Tuesday, July 28, 2015 at 7:10 pm (Citi Field)

J Shields (8-3) (3.77) vs. N Syndergaard (4-5) (3.20)

The Line: New York Mets -130 / San Diego Padres +120 --- Over/Under: 6.5 See the Latest Odds

TV: FSN-SD, SNY

The San Diego Padres and New York Mets begin a three-game series Tuesday night.

The San Diego Padres look to keep rolling after winning six of their last nine games. The Padres have scored nine runs in their last three games and three or less runs in six straight games. The Padres have split their last six games when scoring three or less runs. Matt Kemp leads San Diego with 97 hits and 54 RBI while Justin Upton and Derek Norris have combined for 95 RBI. The San Diego Padres have lost six of their last eight road games. James Shields gets the nod, and he’s 8-3 with a 3.77 ERA and 144 strikeouts this season. Shields is 2-0 with a 1.93 ERA and eight strikeouts in his career against the Mets.

Padres at Mets - 7/28/15 MLB Pick, Odds, and Prediction

USA TODAY Sports

The New York Mets look for a win after splitting their last eight games. The Mets have scored 20 runs in their last three games and three or less runs in six of their last eight games. The Mets have lost six of their last eight games when scoring three or less runs. Curtis Granderson leads New York with 91 hits and 31 RBI while Wilmer Flores and Lucas Duda have combined for 80 RBI. The New York Mets have won five of their last seven home games. Noah Syndergaard takes the hill, and he’s 4-5 with a 2.97 ERA and 82 strikeouts this season. This will be Syndergaard’s second career game against the Padres.

The Padres are 5-2 in their last 7 games following an off day and 2-7 in Shields' last 9 starts. The Mets are 36-16 in their last 52 home games and 5-1 in Syndergaards last 6 home starts. The Padres are 2-7 in the last 9 meetings in New York and 4-1 in the last 5 meetings overall.

We know both of these teams struggle to put up runs, but this line is a tad bit too low. Shields has allowed four or more runs in three of his last seven starts and the over is 19-9-2 in the last 30 meetings between these two teams. Give me the over. 

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Over 6.5

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