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Phillies at Blue Jays - 7/28/15 MLB Pick, Odds, and Prediction

Philadelphia Phillies (37-63) at Toronto Blue Jays (50-50)

MLB Baseball: Tuesday, July 28, 2015 at 7:07 pm (Rogers Centre)

Adam Morgan (1-2) (4.28) vs. F Doubront (1-0) (4.34)

The Line: Toronto Blue Jays -221 / Philadelphia Phillies +204 --- Over/Under: 9.5 See the Latest Odds

TV: CSN-PHI, RSN

The Philadelphia Phillies and Toronto Blue Jays begin a two-game series Tuesday night.

The Philadelphia Phillies look to keep rolling after winning eight of their last nine games. The Phillies have scored 21 runs in their last three games and four or more runs in six of their last seven games. The Phillies have won seven straight games when scoring more than three runs. Ben Revere leads Philadelphia with 107 hits and 26 RBI while Ryan Howard and Freddy Galvis have combined for 78 RBI. The Philadelphia Phillies have lost five of their last eight road games. Adam Morgan gets the nod, and he’s 1-2 with a 4.28 ERA and 18 strikeouts this season. This will be Morgan’s first career game against the Blue Jays.

Phillies at Blue Jays - 7/28/15 MLB Pick, Odds, and Prediction

USA TODAY Sports

The Toronto Blue Jays look for a win after splitting their last eight games. The Blue Jays have scored 15 runs in their last three games and four or more runs in five of their last seven games. The Blue Jays have won five of their last six games when scoring more than three runs. Josh Donaldson leads Toronto with 112 hits and 68 RBI while Edwin Encarnacion and Russell Martin have combined for 103 RBI. The Toronto Blue Jays have split their last eight home games. Felix Doubront takes the hill, and he’s 1-0 with a 4.34 ERA and 10 strikeouts this season. This will be Doubront’s first career game against the Phillies.

The Phillies are 6-1 in their last 7 games following a win and 5-13 in their last 18 during game 1 of a series. The Blue Jays are 5-0 in their last 5 games following an off day and 2-5 in their last 7 during game 1 of a series. The Phillies are 0-6 in the last 6 meetings in Toronto and 0-8 in the last 8 meetings overall.

I've cashed many times with the Phillies and the big plus money during this nice stretch they're on. However, there comes a time when you can't push your luck. The Phillies are scoring a ton of runs lately and the Blue Jays usually show up offensively at home. With two pitchers who haven't pitched much this season, I like the over. 

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Over 9.5

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