Reds vs. Cardinals - 8/6/15 MLB Pick, Odds, and Prediction
St. Louis Cardinals (67-39) at Cincinnati Reds (48-56)
MLB Baseball: Thursday, August 6, 2015 at 12:35 pm (Great American Ball Park)
M Wacha (12-4) (3.09) vs. M Lorenzen (3-6) (4.80)
The Line: Cincinnati Reds +138 / St. Louis Cardinals -148 --- Over/Under: 8 See the Latest Odds
TV: FSMW, FSOH
The St. Louis Cardinals and Cincinnati Reds play a rubber game Thursday afternoon.
The St. Louis Cardinals look for a win after splitting their last 10 games. The Cardinals have scored nine runs in their last three games and three or less runs in five of their last eight games. The Cardinals have lost five of their last six games when scoring three or less runs. Jhonny Peralta leads St. Louis with 116 hits and 55 RBI while Kolten Wong and Jason Heyward have combined for 79 RBI. The St. Louis Cardinals have won three of their last four road games. Michael Wacha gets the nod, and he’s 12-4 with a 3.09 ERA and 106 strikeouts this season. Wacha is 3-1 with a 2.01 ERA and 30 strikeouts in his career against the Reds.
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The Cincinnati Reds look for a win after splitting their last 10 games. The Reds have scored six runs in their last three games and four or more run in four of their last eight games. The Reds have won four of their last six games when scoring more than three runs. Joey Votto leads Cincy with 113 hits and 51 RBI while Todd Frazier and Jay Bruce have combined for 129 RBI. The Cincinnati Reds have split their last 10 home games. Michael Lorenzen takes the hill, and he’s 3-6 with a 4.80 ERA and 59 strikeouts this season. This will be Lorenzen’s first career game against the Cardinals.
The Cardinals are 0-6 in their last 6 during game 3 of a series and 10-2 in Wachas last 12 road starts. The Reds are 5-2 in their last 7 games as an underdog and 1-5 in Lorenzens last 6 starts. The Cardinals are 4-1 in Wachas last 5 starts vs. Reds.
Wacha has allowed three or less runs in four of his last six starts, and the Cards have won 10 of their last 12 road games when he's on the mound. I have more faith in him than Lorenzen, which is why I'm siding with the road team here.